Shrimp farming plays a vital role in the economic uplift of coastal populations in Bangladesh

The dataset collected farmers’ opinions based on seven factors from the TPB-NAM integration model.In particular, TPB has been accepted and widely used in studies with the purpose of predicting individual intentions and behavior, empirical studies have shown the relevance of this theory in the study of farmers’ intentions/behavior.NAM is derived from a pro-social context and has been widely used in many studies to explain not only pro-social intentions/behavior but also pro-environmental intentions/behavior in a wide range of contexts.The data set was collected through a 2-part survey: the first part explores the respondents’ characteristics including: gender, age, educational qualification, farming experience and farming annual income ; the second part explores respondents’ consent to statements related to factors affecting the intention to produce organic agriculture ; Table 3 shows more detailed results between the variables.It took the farmer about 20 minutes to complete the entire survey.The survey was conducted directly at the farmer’s residence or farm in October 2019.The survey team received the support from Department of Science and Technology in Hanoi to list and approach the target farmers.Respondents were farmers who were practicing conventional farming in Hanoi, Vietnam.Respondents were selected at random but still ensured their representativeness in some regions that were promoting the conversion to organic farming such as Soc Son, Chuong My, Ba Vi,…in Hanoi.Each farmer participating in the survey received a support of 2 US dollar after completing all the contents of the questionnaire which were distributed directly and collected by the survey team.The survey team designed a survey of 38 items, of which 5 were about respondents’ characteristics, the remaining 33 items, are designed on a 5-point Likert scale , focus on 7 factors: intention, ebb and flow bench attitude, subject norms, perceived behavioral control, personal norm, awareness of consequences and ascription of responsibility.

All items in the survey are inherited from previous studies and the replying is complete mandatory to ensure that the collected data does not contain missing data.The questionnaire did not use the reverse question, which was conducted directly by the survey team, with detailed observations and assisting farmers in the answer process.All responses of the respondents were imported into Excel software before importing to SPSS 22.Before the analysis, the variables were encoded and the data were checked to ensure the validity of each questionnaire.After discarding invalid questionnaires, the final dataset contained 318 questionnaires.Bangladesh is ranked as the fifth-largest aquaculture-producing nation.The shrimp culture contributes 71.4 % to the total national production.The aquaculture industry has shown rapid growth with a critical role in Bangladesh’s economy, becoming the second-largest export industry after garments.It started to grow slowly in a commercial mode of aquaculture in the middle 1970s due to increasing demand in the international market.Shrimp culture mainly practices in Khulna, Satkhira, Bagerhat, and Cox’s Bazar districts of Bangladesh.It is safe to say that shrimp culture in these areas richly supports the sustainability, resilience, and social-economic status of the coastal shrimp farmer communities.The fisheries sector contributed approximately 2.73 % of the total export earnings and 22.21 % to the agricultural industry.Export earnings from the fisheries sector have increased from USD 151,244,659 in 1995–1996 to USD 356,707,522 in 2009–2010 , which is more than double, hence shows a promising potential in this sector to uplift the poor farming communities.The booming shrimp farming industry generated diverse employment opportunities, with the 87,000 persons directly involved in farming activities, while other 5000–6000 families working in the shrimp processing and ancillary industries.The latest estimates illustrate that a large area of saline land is under shrimp cultivation in Bangladesh , making it a reasonable stakeholder in the national economy and bringing profitable usage of the uncultivable land.Currently, shrimp farming and allied industries are the primary income sources for the rural communities of south-western and southeastern coastal areas of Bangladesh.

Among the aquaculture types, shrimp aquaculture has shown rapid growth with a critical role in Bangladesh’s economy.The United Nations Development Programme and the Food and Agriculture Organization have reported approximately 2.1 lac hectares of the land went under shrimp farming.Out of which, 93,799 shrimp farms are Bagda , and Golda are cultured in 67,644 farms.Previously, the area under brackish water prawn culture was 128,274 ha, while freshwater prawns culture has grown to 28,411 ha, making 156945 ha.It represents about 80 % of the total area under shrimp cultivation in Bangladesh.Among the essential shrimp species, brackish water shrimp farming is currently one of the most popular concerning the national economy.In Southern Bangladesh, thousands of farmers have transformed their none-profiting paddy fields to ’gher’ to start as a profitable shrimp culture practice.The P.monodon culture in Bangladesh is practiced in the ponds situated alongside a river.This modification entails the construction of higher dikes by excavating a deep enough canal inside, and the periphery of the dikes facilitates entry of the water during the dry season.The commercial shrimp culture began in the 1970s and radically expanded in the ensuing decades.Furthermore, it has taken place mainly on the reclaimed mangrove forest areas in the Sundarban region at Shyamnagar Upazila of Satkhira District.We planned this study to highlight how modern shrimp farming practices could have improved and influenced the livelihood patterns, social-economic status, household structures, and overall living standards of the coastal communities in Southern Bangladesh as they are directly involved in shrimp farming.We expected that the study could provide better insights into promoting sustainable shrimp farming in southwest coastal Bangladesh.The main objectives of our study include the understanding of potential changes in shrimp farming in the southwest coastal Bangladesh.Therefore, we assessed shrimp farming’s major social-economic status indicators, indicating the significant phases and present shrimp farming situation.We also surveyed for income and satisfaction levels among the shrimp farming communities.

The study area map denoting three wards is showing in Fig.1.The study was conducted in three wards of Ishwaripur Union under Shyamnagar Upazila, Satkhira District, located near the Sundarbans in southwest coastal Bangladesh.We randomly selected the survey respondents among the shrimp farmers located in the study area.The total population of the Ishwaripur Union is 45,202 , with 49 % male and 51 % female inhabitants.Muslim community dominates as 74 %, while the rest of them are other religios communities.The literacy rate is reported at 55.04 percent with limited educational institutions.Please see the supplementary material Table 1 for detailed information on educational institutions present in the study area.In Shyamnagar Upazila, a large number of farmers are involved in shrimp farming.The respondents were selected from three different locations, i.e., location 1 , location 2 , and location 3 in Ishwaripur Union under Shyamnagar Upazila of Satkhira, Bangladesh.A total of 50 respondents were interviewed by questionnaire method, and 2 case studies were conducted among the respondents.In these case studies, the sample size was determined by a stratified proportionate sampling method through the total shrimp farming household.The total number of households and sample size in each ward in the study area are shown in supplementary material Table 2.The distribution of frequency and percentage of respondents were categorized based on the land size in their farms is shown in supplementary material Table 3.A questionnaire was designed to survey the social-economic issues due to shrimp farming and its implications on local livelihood.The preliminary survey focused on the shrimp farmers current social-economic status.During this survey, the data were collected by the pre-tested draft questionnaire from the two respondents of each category.Then the questionnaire was finalized for collecting the necessary data through the interview method.The survey method was conducted through direct interviews with the different stakeholders.The information was also collected about the earlier traditional social structure and livelihood status of shrimp farming stakeholders, and we checked they changed or not due to shrimp farming.We also analyzed the intragenerational changes in the sustainability of livelihood framework such as age group, educational status,4x8ft rolling benches alternative occupation, social status, financial capital assets were also analyzed by DFID for determining the impacts of shrimp farming development at the coastal area of Bangladesh and financial capital assets to determine the effects of shrimp farming development in Bangladesh’s coastal region.

The data was collected through direct observation and transect walk toolkit.The primary data were collected through the questionnaire survey group discussion and interview.However, all the data were crosschecked to ensure the accuracy of data collected from the respondents.The Focus Group discussions were conducted to identify the problems and collect fishermen’s recommendations regarding the issues identified to develop an effective solution.We performed the data error analyses, management, standardization, scaling, and other procedures.According to the total response value of open-ended answers, the information was categorized during data processing.The tabulation was performed by using the Statistical Package for Social Science , while Microsoft Excel was used to prepare the illustrations.The leading percentages of shrimp farmers age groups comprised of the middle age, i.e., 36–40 years old and above 40 years.Less than 30 years old farmers made up only 6%, with 31− 35 years old as 18 %.The previous studies have shown that most 16–30 aged displayed the highest involvement in this occupation.The shrimp farmers age distribution provides valuable insights into the decision-making and profitable farming operations ability.It is critical to notice that the younger people displayed no interest in shrimp fishing , which alludes to looming crises if the situation prevails.On the other hand, the respondents educational status was categorized into six categories.The 24 % of the farmers obtained SSC and upper-level education, while 76 % did not enter high school, with 14 % as illiterates.It is alarming to note only 8% of farmers with university level education.Das et al.reported that 75 % of the fishing community was illiterate.However, our study exhibited a different trend believed to be improving due to the uplift of the shrimp farming communities social-economic status.Rahman reported that the fishermen are socially, economically, and educationally disadvantaged and lack sufficient financial resources to invest in education.Karim and Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council revealed low or no education as the characteristic feature in rural life in some villages.Owing to higher financial stress, the shrimp farmers relied on alternative occupations to meet their financial demands.This study showed the tendency of alternative careers among the shrimp farmers.We found that people in the study area were involved with diverse professions.Fishing , agriculture , and private businesses remained the most preferred primary sources of income among the shrimp farmers, while personal business was the most preferred secondary source of income.It indicated that a considerable percentage of shrimp farmers relied upon various alternative sources to meet their financial demands.Due to the higher subsistence level, the seasonal and sometimes professional fishers are engaged in multiple earning activities on a part-time basis, especially during the low season for fishing.Many fishers were also involved in agricultural activities.The increasing percentages of executive involvement are noticeable in the study area, a promising sign for the shrimp farming community.The quality of life and living standard depend on the adequacy of living resources, education status, industrial production, and agricultural practices.More or less, electricity is inevitable to maintain sustainable living standards.Our data revealed that 34 % of the farmers have no access to electricity.For the rest of the inhabitants, the primary sources of electricity are the Rural Electrification Board and solar energy , with other sources including battery and oil engine generators.However, compared to the preceding reports, the mainstream shrimp farmers can use electricity and allied facilities in their households and farming units.It denoted significant development and improvement in the coastal communities living standards directly linked to shrimp farming in Bangladesh.Most of the people used pond sand filter facilities for drinking water.However, fewer people have to use rainwater after harvesting it while the rest use water directly from the pond without any filtration.Hossain et al.and Ali et al.observed that a large share of collected water was brought from the government groundwater tube well and neighboring tube-well in Bangladesh.Due to the critical and demanding nature of natural water supply, most of the population is concerned about drinking water safety, with a moderate population of people opined having no idea.Only 10 % pronounced it as unsafe for drinking purposes.The provision of safe drinking water for livestock animals was not considered during this study.Safe drinking water is of paramount importance for the human populations as well as sustainable management of drinking waters is equally essential as it is liable for health and public safety.

The development of biogas technologies are mainly affected by technical key performance indicators

Solar and biomass technologies are reportedly the widest adopted renewable energy technologies in the country with potential yearly solar irradiation and large amount of biodegradable waste available from farming facilities. However, there is still a lot of efforts to be done to meet the national electricity targets access of 100 % by 2030. These efforts mainly depend on financial resources availability and electrification strategies to be put in place through public private partnerships like in most Sub-Saharan African countries. The PPPs in the energy sector usually address the energy deficit in two ways : by refurbishing existing energy infrastructures such as power plants, transmission, and distribution networks in connected urban and rural arears in SSA and, by investing in the development and installation of RETs in existing disconnected localities. As such, since most disconnected localities in Africa have a proven untapped agricultural potential, many private power developers are promoting the implementation of de-centralized mini-utilities, also called mini-grids. These minigrids are used as alternative cost-effective energy solutions using locally available resources, specifically solar and abundant biomass. From this perspective, this paper briefly presents and encourages the development of a pilot Biogas-Solar Photovoltaic Hybrid Mini-grid in the town of Palapye. In fact, BSPVHM addresses power shortage by using sunlight and bio-waste to generate eco-friendly energy at a lower installation and operating cost. Through an autonomous energy management system, the BSPVHM allows to generate electricity while managing the supply of power from various sources. Apart from electricity, the BSPVHM produces fertilizers from the remaining digestate after anaerobic digestion that occurs in the bio-digester. These fertilizers can be used after treatment to increase the production of crops through soil enhancement techniques,vertical grow rack allowing farmers to have greater harvest, become energy independent and boost the local economy.

The purpose of this pilot project is to serve as a road map for a waste management and electricity supply in African localities with the similar context like the city of Palapye. This is achieved through the review of the state of the art, the assessment of available solar and waste ressources in Palapye, the preliminary design of the configuration of the BSPVHM, and future recommendations based on the projected limitations of this pilot project.The use of traditional fossil fuel technologies is largely adopted in many African countries. These technologies allow them to quickly address the existing lack of power in their underserved areas. For this reason, various industries use diesel / heavy fuel oil gensets to meet their daily energy demand. However, diesel and HFO are not affordable for everyone and not ecofriendly. Apart from electricity, pollution is another source of sicknesses such as lung infections in rural arears. Studies show that most women suffer from lung infections due to the use of charcoal that are used for cooking. Africa reportedly releases more than 1.3 billion tons of CO2 on a yearly basis from various industries. To alleviate this pollution, a clean energy revolution in Africa is essential especially in SSA. In addition to environmental benefits offered, clean energy sources can unlock sustainable economic growth, improve human health, and empower women and children to live more productively. Mini-grid systems powered by RETs sources such as solar PV and biomass energy are adequate energy solutions for African disconnected areas with high agricultural potential. Even though solar PV and biomass are both RETs and biomass has a greater installed capacity in the world than solar PV, the latter is the most widely used form of energy generation source in the world nowadays. Solar PV is a mature technology that converts solar radiation energy into electricity by means of different equipment, principally solar modules, and power inverters. This kind of technology is currently amongst the most adopted energy sources due to its reliability and capacity to produce electricity at reasonably low cost despite its intermittencies. One of the main drivers considered to analyze the suitability of solar PV generation for a specific location is the solar irradiation level of that proposed site. SSA has one of highest irradiation levels in the world and is seen as the best place to develop and install such solar RETs.

The main limitations of solar PV are its inability to produce electricity in absence of solar radiation and the intermittency of its production, caused by weather disturbances. Solar energy is produced during the central hours of the day, which depends on the time that the sun raises and sets across the different periods of the year. The production of the solar plant is highly dependent on the altitude of the sun, weather disturbances during each season, the orientation towards the North, seasonal variations that affects the productibility. Biomass technologies include gasification, pyrolysis, AD, landfill, ethanol fermentation, photobiological process, dark fermentation, microbial fuel cell and microbial electrolysis cell . Biomass gasification is the most widely adopted waste-to-energy technologies technique for hybrid mini-grid set-up with solar PV. Generally, the gasifier is fed with wastes such as maize cobs and rice husks with a combustion process at 150°C to produce syngas that is filtered and converted to electricity by means of a multi-stage gasifier generator. In addition, bio-char which is a process by-product is used in the briquette making. These hybrid set-ups are largely found in Bangladesh, India and Uganda. The advantage of gasification is that it operates with a large diversity of wastes compared to AD that only works with organic waste with high moisture content and cellulose. The main disadvantage of this technique is that gasifier requires a lot of energy, release more carbon CO2 in the atmosphere and does not offer a competitive business model for agricultural communities like AD. AD produces biogas to generate electricity, heat, fuel and fertilizers from agricultural wastes and organic fraction of municipal solid wastes. Unlike solar PV that is intermittent, biogas power plant is base-load and can generate power at any time of the day depending on the feed stock intake in the digester. One of the challenges is that waste to energy technologies are more costly than solar PV in terms of installation and operations and Maintenance costs during asset lifespan.These KPIs are the design of the power plant, availability and quality of feed stocks, biomethane potential of substrates to be used, type of digestions that is selected, temperature conditions of the process , capacity factor of the biogas power plant, electricity conversion factor of the generator, viability of the tariff at which electricity will be sold and market profitability of by-products such as biofertilizer from AD digestate that accounts for 90% of the remaining digestate after power generation. These KPIs are the reasons as to why it is not as widely adopted as other RETs such as solar PV or onshore wind technologies . The current food regime has created a number of persistent environmental problems, such as climate change, environmental degradation and biodiversity loss, while it has also driven many farms to the verge of financial profitability.

Addressing these problems through a fundamental reorientation of the food system—a sustainability transition—calls for substantial changes taking place at the level of farm systems. However, farmers have been frequently described as being amongst the least powerful actors in food systems, acting mostly as price-takers, which makes them ill-equipped to act as transition agents . The contemporary food system is pushing farms towards more specialisation, intensification and growth to keep up with the cost-price squeeze , while the pressures for a fundamental reorientation in farming are mounting for the sake of environmental sustainability. The traditional approach to confronting sustainability problems as related to production practices and farm management has been advocated for decades through, for example, agri-environmental policies within the European Union. However, critics argue that many such strategies do not challenge the systemic features that contributed to the problems in the first place and are thus inadequate to address the root causes of sustainability problems. The consumption approach takes a different position, attributing the environmental crisis to consumption patterns, especially over-consumption of high-impact animal-based products . Under this approach, a dietary transition towards more plant-based consumption is the most critical solution to address the sustainability problems of the food system. However, the dietary transition translates as a threat to the livelihood of especially many peripheral regions where farms and farmers lack feasible production and employment alternatives due to unfavourable growing conditions and paucity of non-agricultural jobs . The problem with both production- and consumption-oriented perspectives is that they do not address questions of power and agency that are fundamental elements of the unsustainability of the contemporary food system . Accordingly, as Garnett states: “The concern lies not just with production, and not just with consumption: it is the outcome of unequal relationships between and amongst producers and consumers, across and within countries and communities.” Yet the questions of power, agency and social justice have received limited research interest in relation to initiatives promoting sustainability and climate change mitigation amongst food systems . To this end, an emerging area of ‘just transitions’ research has been gaining a stronger foothold amongst the sustainability transitions literature . In the context of food systems, research on just sustainability transitions draws from existing scholarship on food justice,vertical grow tables which is devoted to studying power and agency in food system, food system transformation, and distribution of harms and benefits of food system activities across various social groups and spatial scales .

Despite the urgency of efforts to promote sustainability transition within the food systems, and the observations related to farmers’ weak power position, there is very limited understanding about farmers’ capacities to transform . In this study, we examine the transformative capacities of farmers in a peripheral context to understand how they are positioned relative to the prospective sustainability transition. We operationalise farmers’ transformative capacities through the concept of resilience: by referring to resilience as persistence, adaptability, and transformability,we analyse the ‘fit’ of farms with the external system, characterised by rigidity and path-dependency on the one hand and mounting pressures for a disruptive transition on the other. The concept of resilience allows us to move beyond analysis of production lines or practices to be promoted or debilitated and analyse the position of farms as parts of the food system: whether and under which conditions peripheral farms can participate in the main function of food systems—food production. We discuss our findings in the context of just transition, which addresses social inequalities and tensions related to transition processes along the dimensions of distributive, procedural, recognitive, cosmopolitan and restorative justice . While the uneven consequences of transition processes are usually analysed in terms of distributive justice , we argue that the concept of restorative justice offers a theoretically unelaborated but promising pathway to understand the ways forward from the detected inequalities: how to compensate or restore the actors’ positions shaken by the transition processes . In particular, we elaborate on the recently developed proactive elements of restorative justice and argue that restoration should go beyond only reacting and compensating for harm created but also promoting the actors’ resilience in transition processes. Our empirical context is Finland, particularly its eastern, peripheral regions, where the livelihoods of many farmers and, partly, regional economies are dependent on cattle production. This is due to the region’s climatic conditions and soil properties being particularly suited for grass production, whereas crop cultivation suffers from profitability problems or from a short growing season . Furthermore, crop production does not offer possibilities for full-time employment in peripheral areas, which also lack the abundant job markets of economically prosperous regions . We base our findings on representative survey data retrieved from farmers in eastern Finland in 2018 . Social systems, such as food systems, may accommodate several stability domains. These stability domains are analogous with regimes as temporally stable configurations of a social-ecological or socio-technical system.We understand regimes as dynamically stable configurations of social systems prevailing over specific time frames. Sustainability transitions can thus be conceptualised as regime shifts or moves into new stability domains. These systemic transformations affect the subsystems residing within larger-scale systems, such as farms as parts of food systems.

Its small size and the lack of need for battery make the passive EID well suited for sheep farming

In addition, these included many beneficial bacteria with antimicrobial features, degraders of contaminants and producers of extracellular polymeric substances which are known to improve soil structure and to promote plant growth and drought tolerance. In addition, results are comparable with earlier findings that Firmicutes, including well-known pathogenic Clostridium species, are typical of organically managed plots and are most likely linked to manure fertilization. In general, actinobacterial representatives were more prominent in the organic system for cereal crop rotation and in rotations with manure fertilization. Indeed, high abundance of actinobacteria have been reported in root samples from organic managed soils. Interestingly, our results showed that actinobacterial genus Nocardioides may have benefited from some other organic system specific practice than manure in the cereal rotation. Indeed, actinobacteria have been found to be indicators for no-tilled organic farming systems, and suggested as producers of exopolysaccharides and lipopolysaccharides, and to have relevance in soil aggregate stability in reduced tillage systems. Furthermore, genus Bosea which contains root-nodule endophytic bacteria capable of dinitrogen fixing was specific for the organic cereal rotation system with legumes. There were fewer changes in fungal representatives in the conventional system for the cereal crop rotation between farming systems compared to changes in bacteria. These fungi included soil saprotrophs and mycoparasites which are general opportunists that either benefit from or tolerate synthetic fertilizers or tilling or both. In general, conditions in autumn may favour fast-growing saprotrophic fungi that effectively make use of harvest residues. Conversely, mycelia of AMF are dependent on living plants but as spores AMF may persist in soil even after harvesting. Here, Archaeospora trappei and Archaeospora sp., Glomus mosseae, and Pacispora sp. were indicative mycorrhizal fungi for the cereal crop rotation.

Most of the specific fungi for the organic system for cereal crop rotation were typical of both seasons, indicating certain seasonal stability in the fungal communities in studied arable soils. Furthermore,hydropnic bucket the majority of these specific fungal representatives were the same as the species specific for the manure fertilized plots. Most of them affiliated to ascomycetes and especially to the order Sordariales. Thus, the indicative fungal representatives in both the organic system for cereal crop rotation and manure fertilized plots consisted of functionally a wide mixture of soil and litter organisms, including molds and yeasts acting as saprotrophs, pathogens and predators of other organisms. However, a species of Arthrinium serenense was indicative for both organic rotations but not to manure plots, indicating that it could benefit from some other organic farming practice than manure fertilization. Endophytic genus Arthrinium has been suggested to have various roles in extreme temperature tolerance, production of substances against other fungi and herbivores, as well as acting saprotrophic and pathogenic. Other taxa linked to organic cereal rotation included representatives of Apiosporaceae and Helotiales detected in spring, and the pathogenic Fusarium oxysporum and its antagonist mycotoxin producing Glarea lozoyensis in autumn. These fungi may have the ability to grow quickly and benefit from the second cut of the grass and clover ley which was left on the field as a green manure in the organic system for cereal crop rotation. Precision livestock farming is the application of the precision agriculture concept to livestock farming using a variety of sensors and actuators in order to improve the management capacity for big groups of animals. The PLF is based on real-time data collection and analysis which can be used for animal/flock management .Other innovative tools used for this goal include automats and new technologies . Such innovations become increasingly important as farms grow bigger and single animal monitoring is no longer possible without technological aid .

In intensive farming facilities, the systems achieve this goal through single animal monitoring, environmental microclimate management, feed efficiency rationing, treatment planning and software decision-making aids for the farmer . In the modern farming world of highly industrialized systems with extremely low ratio of farmers to farm animals, it provides a crucial component in the ability of the stock person to keep track of its animals . The levels of monitoring provided by electronic tags and animal-based sensors for a single animal improve the ability of stock persons to manage each animal individually and respond to health problems or welfare issues faster than manual detection . The efficiency granted by the application of PLF and other technologies is also important to the reduction of farm waste and the reduction of the number of animals needed in order to produce the same amount of product increasing farm environmental and economical sustainability. In the farming of ruminants, PLF application has seen the highest implementation in the dairy cow sector as farm intensification took place in the developed world. This sector also enjoys a high level of competition between PLF developers which tends to improve PLF products as well as technical services. Dairy cow farmers nowadays are aware of the variety of management tools at their disposal and of the need to understand and implement those products in an increasingly competitive market . Other ruminants, especially ones kept in the pasture, are less likely to benefit from such systems. An extensive pasture environment is more difficult to control in comparison to a closed barn, especially in regard to infrastructures and communication options . Extensive farmers prioritize methods of grazing with low financial investment and relative simplicity of management which provide a level of economic resilience to market fluctuations. Therefore, adding PLF systems would inevitably increase production costs and would add another layer of technological complexity to farm management . Nevertheless, technological solutions are being gradually incorporated in extensive pasture farming of cattle and small ruminants . A particular sector of extensive sheep farming is the dairy sheep farming around the Mediterranean which has unique characteristics tied to its climate and cultural conditions. This led to the development of a variety of local breeds specialized in milk, with yields more than double the world average.

The production supports a diverse consumption market of sheep dairy products with global exports and known trademarks such as the Greek ‘Feta’ or the Italian ‘Pecorino’. The market and farming systems of the area were recently described in a review by Pulina et al. which highlights the global relevance of the sector: around the Mediterranean and Black Sea regions are concentrated roughly 27% of the world milk yielding ewes, providing more than 40% of total sheep milk production. Almost half of it is concentrated in 4 south European countries – France, Italy, Greece and Spain with over 15 million ha of land used for grazing . From the farmer’s perspective, Mediterranean flocks are usually small to medium size with high levels of specialization for milk yield where meat production is usually limited to light lamb consumed during traditional events. Fibre production for wool is negligible and the income ratio of the production is usually 38:62 of meat: milk clearly favouring milk production . The FIGS production includes modern characteristics, with breed selection programmes, commercial processing and Protected Designation of Origin nominations for their traditional cheese products . Farming systems include traditional extensive farms based on pasture as well as intensive systems that take advantage of modern technologies and precise nutrition management. While the intensive systems are favoured for their higher yield, extensive systems are not neglected due to their lower maintenance costs and better resilience to milk price fluctuations. While the integration of PLF and new technologies is accruing, it is associated with intensive farms which adopt systems similar to ones practiced for dairy cows . Extensive dairy sheep farming is a unique farming system, where animals are grazed outdoors, while maintaining contact with the farmer during daily milking for 120–240 days a year. This intensive handling process has no equivalents in the meat and wool production process where animals are handled only in specific occasions. This contact can be used for data collection by dedicated technological solutions, data that could aid in the feeding,stackable planters breeding and management of the flock. The current paper aims to present the technologies currently developed for extensive sheep farming and their potential to be incorporated in a small to medium scale dairy specialized farming system typical to the Mediterranean area. Also discussed in this paper are the current trends of PLF implementation as well as sheep farmers’ attitudes towards innovation, technology and systematic management due to their inherent influence on the adoption of any new technology in the field.A literature review was performed in order to evaluate the current state of PLF and new technologies that can be adapted to the Mediterranean extensive dairy sheep farming sector.

Literature was reviewed in order to identify PLF systems, innovative technologies and automats available and under development. The search was carried out in a manner similar to Lovarelli et al. on Web of Science®, Google Scholar® and Scopus® databases, focusing on studies carried out in the last 20 years . The following keywords were matched for the search: ‘PLF’, ‘sheep’ and ‘dairy sheep’, ‘PLF’, ‘extensive farming’. As the search yielded various PLF systems, each one received a further search, for example, ‘RFID’, ‘sheep’ and ‘extensive’ or ‘WOW’, ‘sheep’ and ‘management’. This process was performed for each one of the described technologies. Articles regarding precision medicine, precision diagnosis, as well as advanced bacteriological and parasitological diagnostics were excluded from the evaluation process. Following this selection process, a total of 154 articles were included into the initial database. A panel of three independent evaluators were given 52, 51 and 51 of the articles respectively. The lists of articles were then exchanged until each panellist covered all the 154 initial articles, and each article had three independent evaluations. Technologies and PLF systems were therefore grouped and described according to the collected conclusions of the three panellists. The further search focused on technology adoption by farmers. As the number of articles for exclusively sheep farming is limited, other farming sectors were also considered. When Mediterranean references were not available, articles regarding the applicability of systems in other places were discussed. This included EU member states, as well as very different farming systems . Consideration regarding PLF and new technologies future role included financial, cultural and environmental trends. Market prices of products and commercial data were collected from official sites of the producers, distributors, online stores and local selling agents . Financial information was obtained from consultant websites dedicated to farmer finances while Common Agricultural Policy and payment schemes were obtained from extension services of farmer’s co-operative associations. The CAP payments are a result of a common policy for all EU member states, funded by EU’s budget while the management is mostly delegated to local authorities .Electronic identification systems are a key component in PLF setting of farms and the only technology currently mandatory under EU laws . Radio-frequency identification systems allow each animal to be identified independently and the data to be stored and used for various decision-making processes. It is also a key component in animal identification for other PLF systems such as the weighting scale or AD. Passive EID tags are based on the storage of simple information code and a copper coil which briefly charges the transmitter through the energy passed from an active reader .Under the EU legislation, the use of EIDs is obligatory for all sheep and goat farmers, and currently represents an opportunity for introduction of PLF system into extensive management systems. The RFID operates on different radio frequency levels which determine their transition distance and ability to pass materials : low frequency , high frequency and ultra-high frequency . In farming , three significant differences can be distinguished between them: while the HF and UHF are working in the upper level, allowing anti-collision, longer distance, less noise and stable connection they hindered by materials . The LF is less stable but allows better passage through obstacles with the disadvantage for the need of larger antenna. In some cases, farm metal can act as an antenna itself and have multiple reading . It is the most common method of application. Its ease of use and application makes the method very appealing to farmers.

The system is deployed on the Puerto de La Luz seaport and applied to data from two system sensors

The degree that farming systems follow the principles of OA can be represented as continuous scale, however, a clear line can be drawn between farmers who complied with the minimum requirements of organic standards and those who do not . On this scale, also conventional farmers can be by the extent to which they come close to the boundary of organic compliance, based on the amount and frequency of chemical inputs they use . Furthermore, organic farmers can be grouped according to whether they practice organic farming because they do not have access to chemical inputs or whether they practice organic farming intentionally . In our case studies, organicby-default farmers, which were in the control and not in the intervention groups, were rather uncommon, as most farmers used chemical inputs from time to time, even though some used them only in small quantities. Both groups practice organic farming intentionally and can be further distinguished as farmers who manage their farm only passively and those who manage their farm organically in an active way. Among the latter group, we can further distinguish between farmers who merely substitute conventional inputs by organic ones and those who actively follow agroecological principles and design their farm accordingly for a sound organic nutrient and pest management. While the latter group can be considered closest to implementing the principles of OA, according to our data it is the absolute minority among smallholder farmers in SSA. This emphasises the necessity to view organic agriculture as a farming system that requires a systemic shift beyond the view of single practices that is increasingly taken up by agroecology or regenerative agriculture . Cultivating soil, producing crops, and preparation and distribution of the resulting products is a practice that dates back thousands of years, aeroponic tower garden system and since has been playing a vital role in contributing to the global economy.

In many developing countries, agriculture is a major source for income and employment in rural communities which constitute 45% of the world’s population. Around 26.7% of the world population secure their livelihoods from agriculture. Yet, despite its historical impact on food security, employment and socioeconomic development and stability, the sector still faces structural weaknesses and challenges. These include, but not limited to, pests, vulnerability to climate change, inadequate farming practices and uninformed decision making related to planning, support and protection. The lack of effective support for farmers to adopt good agricultural practices and prevention methods are yet another factors that hinder both the productivity and food security in large scale rural communities. Farmers need up-to-date advice on crops’ diseases, crop patterns and adequate prevention actions to face developing circumstances. Currently, farmers’ access to such information is limited due to current support system being inconsistent, unreliable and often not timely – hence delivered advice can become irrelevant. Over the last two decades, advancements in the agricultural industry has been made through the application of data analytic tools and decision support systems , with noticeable impact in irrigation management, precision agriculture and optimal farming. Though these systems are very useful in offering structured analysis and information to the farmers in a step by step manner, difficulty in usage due to their sophisticated nature, especially for farmers with low literacy in developing countries is often times a challenge. Several systems exist, including related informal forums, social networks, and interactive voice response systems where peers and experts interact with each other and exchange suggestions and opinions on issues raised by farmers. Governments have also tried to handle enquiries and concerns raised by farmers via establishing agri-centres at rural hubs where experts provide suggestions on farmers’ complaints and enquiries by telephony. Whilst this approach seems to facilitate reasonable results, nonetheless, due to the high user demand, it is practically not feasible to provide effective response to extremely large numbers of phone calls, and does not offer a structured way to keep track, and use, of the historic record of enquiries made, resolved and otherwise.

Moreover, providing adequate responses for farmers’ queries is difficult for domain experts as comprehensive information regarding the context of the problem and underlying issues may not be adequately communicated through conventional phone calls. For a sustainable farming practice, the development of an automated query/complaint management system is still an open problem. Mohit Jain et al. proposed a conversational agent for resolving farmer queries by using IBM Watson Speech-based system and Google Translator. However, there is still a high demand for efficient query/complaint management system to enhance the usability and acceptability aspects for farmers with limited literacy while keeping the system highly scalable, available around-the-clock and have manageable overheads. This study aims to resolve the problem of support and advice for farmers in place of the current manual system, deployed in Egypt, by presenting a framework for Complaint Management and Decision Support System for Sustainable Farming . It is based on the application of knowledge discovery and analytics on agricultural data and farmers’ complaints, deployed on a Cloud platform. The automated system is to provide adequate and timely advice for farmers upon their enquires/ complaints, and also to foresee near future development of circumstances by the experts. Consequently, enabling agricultural experts to broadcast early warning signals of threats, mainly pests and disease, and the needed prevention actions to be undertaken by farmers. The system can be deployed to serve villages around farming fields in Egypt and will aim at improving welfare and development in rural parts of the country, and open opportunities for further research and development in the field. The rest of the paper is structured as follows: In Section 2, a literature review of decision support and expert systems in agriculture is presented. Section 3 describes the system requirements and applications constraints. Section 4 presents the system architecture with an illustration of the services/features offered by AgroSupport Analytics system. In Section 5, we present the software application architecture.

The N-tiered architectural representation of the proposed system is described in Section 6. Section 7 offers the subsystem layering and component-level functionalities details. Section 8, presents the Applications of the AgroSupport Analytics system along with a brief case study of farmer query and complaint response that serves as a demonstrative proof of system. Section 9 concludes the paper.Agriculture in Egypt absorbs over 30% workforce and provides livelihood to more than 50% of rural population, but contributes only 11% to national GDP in 2019. This is mainly because each year a large portion of crops are wasted due to pests and diseases and also due to obsolete farming practices. It is believed, therefore, that timely farmers’ complaint resolution and access to information and expertise advice is vital to achieve sustainable and quality agriculture production. The existing farmers’ complaint management process follows a conventional query submission approach where farmers deliver, usually manually, their complaints and needs for support to their respective ‘agricultural associations’ distributed across Egypt. These, being in Arabic text, are received and then submitted to one of the national ‘centers’ distributed over the country to offer support for farmers in their villages. Several agricultural experts working at these centers subsequently process farmers’ enquiries, either instantly or by consulting the Agricultural Research Center via an interface designed for the purpose. A recommendation is usually provided. Most of the times, however, a ‘no known solution’ is delivered ‘ usually via phone calls. The portal provided by ARC offers access to a database of complaint-support pairs, which can sometimes features issues of inconsistency, redundancy, lack of structure, or missing value. The flow of the existing manual querying system is shown as Fig. 1. Even with a swift ‘‘round” of consultancy provided by the system, response from experts can get significantly delayed, mainly due to a large number of sent queries . Consequently, farmers, get an answer when it is too late for them to act. Similarly, the support provided by experts deals only with farmers’ instant complaints, lacking near future perspective on developing circumstances, and thus advice.For nearly two decades, decision support systems and data analytics have become efficient tools for providing precision agriculture and farming. Recently, Big data technologies are being widely adapted in agriculture domain mainly because the agriculture related data sets are becoming extremely large and complex that it is becoming difficult to process them using on–hand data management tools and/or traditional data processing applications.

CropSyst is a DSS developed into a suite of programs, including a crop simulator, a weather forecast generator, GIS modeler program, and a watershed utility program. CropSyst aims to simulate and optimize features like the soil water budget, soil–plant nitrogen budget, crop canopy and root growth, and yield. The AquaCrop model evaluates the production of maize crop under semi-arid climate conditions. García-Vila and Fereres later combined an economic model with the Aqua Crop simulator to optimized farm-level irrigation. Paredes et al. analysed and predicted the impact of irrigation management strategies against yield and economic returns of maize crop. Giusti and MarsiliLibelli introduced an inference based fuzzy DSS to optimally find irrigation actions based on the crop and site characteristics and conserving the water usage. Perini and Susi discussed the design and development aspects of a pest management DSS that can be used by the members of advisory services including pest experts and technicians. Xu et al.introduced an agricultural ecosystem management systems to extracts,dutch buckets for sale manage and analyze data regarding terrain, land utilization and planting. Kurlavicˇius et al. introduced a DSS for sustainable agriculture to predict the optimal crops grown and animals kept in particular regions, The system also predicts the resources required to carry out these activities under the varying environmental conditions. Antonopoulou et al. introduced a Web-based DSS to let farmers find the appropriate crops based on their regional and environmental conditions and also provide the best cultivation strategies and periods.Kaloxylos et al. later, proposed implementation of a cloud-based FMIS for managing a greenhouse. Fountas et al., Tayyebi et al. and Tan proposed perspectives of cloud computing as the key drivers in future development of FMIS and precision agriculture. Big data mining can facilitate the extraction of useful information from complex, variable, and large volume of the dataset, therefore can improve a DSS’s accuracy in various fields. The Millennium Project; for example, has identified many interesting challenges related to clean water, sustainable developments, climate changes, population and resources etc. This project has advocated the use of big geospatial data to save energy with eco-routing, i.e., avoiding congestion, stopping at red lights, turning points, and identifying elevation changes. Furthermore, a fuel consumption minimising technique has been proposed to achieve best travel time with reduced travel distance.

Recently, an unprecedented growth of Data Force Analytics enabled utilisation of big data technologies and digital sensors to manage data efficiently. Adopting such an approach in the field of agriculture can bring many benefits to support decisions. Nevertheless, data analytics still faces many challenges of handling extensive data and diverse data sets like semi-structured, unstructured, and streaming data. Therefore, in such Data Force Analytics developments there will be a strong need to effectively utilise datasets to facilitate users in finding their needs efficiently and effectively e.g. a qualitative study in points out a co-evolving tool to understand such needs/skills. Recently, organisations have started to use the concept of SelfService Analytics to encourage professionals or workers to perform queries with IT support and generate reports independently. The framework proposed in provides matrix called the governance of Self-Service Analytics , which uses the power of business intelligence tools and platform to support ITenabled analytic content development to help experts find the best solutions and get the decision rapidly. The geodatabase contains a visual analysis of tabular data to achieve the primary utilisation of practising BI system and GISs in data analytics. The Puerto de la Luz is a SmartPort solution, enabling real-time monitoring and collection of sensor data in a seaport infrastructure. It is a web-based GIS application, which uses an open-source big data architecture to achieve its functionality. The Spatial Decision Support System is an extension of DSS application, which supports an improvement in decision-making compared to non-spatial data. In particular, SDSS in agriculture has a positive impact on improving decision making.

Farmers did not appear to pay much attention to the geographical average of bTB to guide their purchase

Nevertheless, whilst findings should be interpreted in the context of the game, the context squares played an important role in keeping the game situated within the challenge of bTB. Moreover, participants commented that they found the process enjoyable and a helpful way of talking about cattle purchasing, and it was notable that the game play prompted conversations about why a decision had been taken between participants. Farmers were encouraged to talk through their purchasing decisions as they made their choices and explain their reasons after each purchasing event. Farmers were asked about each of the behavioural interventions during and at the end of the game. These discussions were recorded within Zoom, transcribed and cross-checked with notes taken during the game. Analysis of in-game cattle purchases identified and recorded each factor mentioned by farmers in their explanation of their purchase choice. Similar factors were grouped together and organised into five main categories. Transcripts were analysed thematically within Nvivo to elicit the key similarities between participants in relation to their views of the information provided and the rationales for their purchasing. Overall, the most frequently mentioned factors were the vaccination status of the animal and its status in relation to production diseases other than bTB. When purchase factors are aggregated into categories, the most important factors were related to aspects of the animal on sale and production diseases, followed equally by bTB and management factors. Farmers were particularly heavily swayed by the Johne’s disease2 status of each purchase choice, acting as an anchor or reference point for all other adverts. Around half of all disease factors were specifically about the vaccination status. This suggested that purchasing decisions were not multi-factorial but could be based on one criterion. As Player 3 commented for all his purchases, “Vaccination for major diseases, that’s what I am really looking for”. Years free from bTB was the third most frequently mentioned factor. This is likely to reflect the fact that it featured in every sale advert and suggests that information on bTB at the point of sale may provide a limited cue to some purchasers. Similarly, strawberry gutter system bTB compensation was only ever discussed in relation to adverts where compensation was mentioned.

Whilst the frequency of these factors is likely to be influenced by the information displayed in the adverts, results reflect previous research that has sought to identify the most influential factors in cattle purchasing . Table 3 shows how these factors vary between different purchase scenarios. For replacement dairy cows, production diseases were the most significant factor, followed by animal factors and then bTB. For purchases of calves, bTB was the least important factor, whilst management factors were the most important. For purchases of in-calf heifer calves the most popular factors were related to the animal, whilst bTB related factors were third. In contrast to the purchasing factors, adverts with high bTB ratings were chosen more frequently. In total, 39 in-game purchase choices were made which involved considering adverts with different bTB statuses. Over half of these in-game choices were of cattle with a high bTB rating . Fourteen in-game purchases were of cattle with the lowest bTB status . One further choice was of cattle whose status was on the midpoint and between the lowest and highest options. For all game players, ten consistently chose purchase options with the highest bTB rating, five the lowest, and three chose a range of options.Farmers suggested that the comparison needed more context to be valid: parishes could vary in size and by number of farms. A more reliable and standardised denominator may have more salience. However, discrepancies between parish and herd bTB ratings prompted some farmers to indicate that this was something that they would follow-up with the vendor to get an explanation. 20 of the 37 in-game cattle purchases involved cattle that would receive 100% of statutory compensation if the purchase was subject to a post movement test. Comparing choices made in each scenario reveals that most farmers did not have a preference for higher or lower compensation, five always chose options with higher compensation, and 3 chose options with lower compensation. Of the 18 in-game purchases, only four were of purchase options that had the highest rating or 95% satisfaction. The remainder were purchases of cattle with lower purchaser satisfaction. In scenario 4, the good farmer information featured on half of the purchase choices. Participants chose an advert featuring a good farmer logo in 14 out of 18 purchase choices. Choices were distributed equally between the highest and lowest good farmer ratings .

In reflecting on their purchasing choices and the information that was most salient to them, farmers articulated a purchasing strategy best described as ‘fitting the system’. This strategy aims to fit or match new cattle purchases to the farm system to ensure its continuity. When faced with a range of purchasing options, ‘fitting the system’ therefore acts as a kind of ‘radar’, honing on those factors that are most pertinent to the system. In-game purchases reflected the need to match systems in a number of ways. For dairy cows, players commented that cows that were cubicle trained were preferred. Information on what cows were being fed was not contained in any adverts, but players suggested that they would want to know that information to ensure a match to their own systems when possible. For calves, Player 16 chose advert 2, justifying the purchase because from the advert, it appeared that the ‘set up was very similar to what we’ve got in terms of the conditions, the vaccinations and the colostrum management’. The importance of a similar setup was to minimise the stress placed upon animals when they are moved and for them to have similar levels of immunity, so that they are not susceptible to illness. Whilst fitting the system provided an overall framework for cattle purchasing, dimensions of good farming were important in shaping how decisions were made. The challenges of fitting the system meant that trust and reliability in the seller became key factors in deciding what to buy. This was evident when farmers were asked to choose between an agent supplying cattle or buying from their neighbour. In this scenario, farmers highlighted the importance of local knowledge. For example, Player 3 commented that, “if it’s the same cow then you go for the neighbour, you know more stuff from driving past”. Similarly, Player 12 suggested that they “would walk away [from the dealer] and look at the neighbours’ [cows] because we know their farming system and they are in tune with what we are doing”. Other dimensions of local knowledge included the ability to draw on vets’ knowledge and their connections with other vets. Player 9, for example, suggested that their vet could speak to the vendor’s vet to “get into the nitty gritty and find out why the animals are on sale”. The effect of providing information on the good farming status of the vendor had a mixed effect. Firstly, purchase choices with high good farmer scores were not widely chosen, indicating that other systemic factors took priority. Nevertheless, farmers reacted positively to this rating, comparing it to ‘Amazon-style’ ratings and demonstrating the face-validity of this good farming metric. However, whilst farmers thought the principle of articulating vendors’ qualities in this way was good, it prompted further questions about what precisely the rating would mean, who would organise it, and how reliable it could be. Satisfaction of previous sales was generally seen as appropriate, but there were concerns about how easily this could be manipulated by ‘fake’ or misleading reviews arising from a genuine mistake by the vendor or purchaser.

Similarly, farmers were concerned about the ability to compare between vendors if one had fewer sales than the other. However, it was not always easy to elicit from the pictures the quality of the animal, farmer or farm, hydroponic fodder system prompting players to comment that they would prefer to be able to visit the farm. This offered farmers to gauge the trustworthiness and reputation of the vendor by being able to ask additional questions and determine from their answers whether they were ‘good farmers’ or not. This could include, for example, vendors’ knowledge of the animal’s history, and the records they keep. In this sense, purchases would partly be based on the farmer and the farm. Farmers commented that they would like to see that the farm was clean and tidy, the housing was of good quality and that the vendor had the ‘right’ attitude. Secondly, the challenges of ‘fitting the system’ also impacted upon the relevance of bTB information and its ability to reflect good farming. Whilst farmers generally preferred high status bTB cattle, their choices reflected their attempts to match cattle to their own circumstances based from other information available. In general, farmers valued purchases with a higher number of years bTB free. However, they also viewed the bTB test as an indication that an animal was ‘saleable’ and there was no real consensus on the threshold of what constituted a ‘safe’ herd. Five or more years was generally seen as good, although some farmers suggested lower. In each case, however, the scarcity of available cattle with high bTB status meant that a better guide was to buy no lower than their current status. The significance of bTB varied between purchase types and each players’ experience of bTB. Where farmers had experienced many outbreaks and farmed in expectation of an outbreak, information on bTB was less important. This reflects fatalistic attitudes towards bTB described in Enticott . However, where players had experienced a recent bTB outbreak, which had caused significant farm management problems, information about bTB was more important. Information on bTB was more likely to be salient when it was timely: farmers who were restocking following a bTB incident particularly valued this information. However, it was not the only factor: Player 9, for example, suggested bTB accounted for 50% of the purchase decision, and other factors could over-ride its significance. In this sense, fitting the system could reflect the wider epidemiological picture surrounding the farm. For example, Player 9 commented that “the closer geographically you are then closer to the same TB situation, [its best to] stick with the problems you know”.

However, for some animals, such as calves, some farmers suggested these dimensions of local fit were not important. Player 2, for example, suggested that “young calves spend so little time in the environment to pick up the disease”. In general, information on bTB appeared to play an ‘arbitrating role’ helping to differentiate between two equally ‘good’ animals for sale. This seemed to be most relevant for compensation incentives. Where adverts appeared to be of similar quality, the potential for additional compensation could sway the decision, all other things being equal . As full compensation was linked to the completion of post-movement testing, the attractiveness of this incentive also depended on the relative ease of completing this test. Where farmers were already frequently testing, the requirement to post-movement test was not considered onerous, meaning animals with full compensation were more attractive. Equally, the extent to which information could arbitrate between two adverts depended on the value of compensation itself. This paper has investigated the salience of different behavioural interventions to influence farmers’ cattle purchasing decisions. In this section, we consider the wider implications of our research. Firstly, the development and use of a scenario-based game has much to offer studies of bio-security and other land-use policy issues. Participants enjoyed playing the game and reported that it helped them to think and talk about their cattle purchasing decisions. Following Quine et al. , our purchasing scenarios were realistic, prompting some participants to reflect on times when the scenarios had played out in real life. Importantly, the use of the game also highlights the need for methodological triangulation when considering the impact of behavioural interventions within farming. Results from the game varied according to methodological and analytical techniques. Based on the analysis of purchasing rationales, results suggested that purchasing was primarily related to production factors. Analysis of the in-game purchases suggested that farmers preferred cattle from farms at a low-risk from bTB.

Economic viability at farm level is a relatively fast and measurable indicator

From a system dynamic perspective this could suggest that the studied farming systems have some buffering capacity to deal with disturbances . An example of this is the farm expansion in area and number of animals in many farming systems that compensates for the loss of farms from the system. From a methodological perspective, it could be argued that the participatory assessment of critical thresholds of challenges is easier than for system functions and resilience attributes. Critical thresholds of challenges are linked to important function indicators and resilience attributes and, therefore, may serve as warnings in the mental models of farming system stakeholders. Based on workshop results and further reflections, interactions between critical thresholds are expected to directly affect the economic viability at farm level, a central critical threshold observed in all farming systems .This gives another argument for monitoring income and other economic indicators in the monitoring frameworks such as the CMEF. The lack of a consistent pattern with regard to environmental thresholds indicates the importance of the local context. In all farming systems, exceeding the critical threshold for economic viability at farm level affects the attractiveness of the sector, the number of farm closures and the availability of farm successors, which in turn in about half of the case studies contribute to lower availability of labor and/or depopulation, which finally can reinforce low economic viability. Hence, a vicious cycle is initiated. This suggests that processes related to the economic and social domain can be driving dynamics of farming systems as well as being reinforced by those dynamics. This potentially can turn a relatively slow social process into a fast process. Social processes are therefore indeed important to monitor . This is already acknowledged in, for instance, in DE-Arable&Mixed, where participants emphasized the attractiveness of the area, hydroponic dutch buckets specifically regarding the development of infrastructure. Through its interactions with processes in other domains and levels, economic performance can be seen as an indirect driver as well as a warning signal for approaching critical thresholds in other domains and levels.

In all farming systems food production was perceived to directly impact economic viability. Therefore, from the perspective of many farming system actors participating in our workshops, focus on food production and economic viability , which are based on relatively fast and measurable processes , seems often more justified than focusing on the more slowly developing social functions such as providing an attractive countryside. However, this may be due to the fact that farmers were in most case studies the best represented stakeholder group, thus possibly masking the voices of other stakeholder groups that were represented less. In any case, social and environmental functions should not be overlooked as a focus on one domain will likely lead to missing important interactions with critical thresholds in other domains . For example, improving economic viability through scale enlargement and intensification, meaning fewer farms and often replacing labor by technology, often leads to a less attractive countryside. Regarding the environmental domain, focus on economic farm performance can even be dangerous as it could ignore externalized risk. For instance in UK-Arable and NL-Arable soil quality, the base of crop production and hence economic performance, was considered close to critical thresholds, while prohibition of certain crop protection products was seen as a challenge for the farming system, rather than the damage these products cause to surrounding ecosystems. Another example of externalized risk in one of our case studies is the pollution of water bodies in IT-Hazelnut. On their own, farmers may initially not have the willingness or capacity to look beyond the farm level. In IT-Hazelnut, farmers, through interaction with environmental actors, are now addressing these environmental issues. Building on this example, we argue that for instance societal dialogues and policy deliberations on improving sustainability and resilience need input from specific social and environmental actors, possibly even from outside the farming system. This seems necessary to counter-balance the bias towards economic performance at farm level by most of the participating farming system actors in most of our workshops. In the more remote case studies, e.g. DE-Arable&Mixed and BGArable, attractiveness of the area seems low anyway. Consequently, improving prices alone, for instance, may not improve the availability of the necessary labor, thus reducing the emphasis on economic performance. Extensive rural development seems necessary to maintain the functioning of these farming systems. Mitter and et al. , based on their mechanistic scenario development approach, expected no or negative developments regarding rural development in all future scenarios of EU agriculture.

The notion that both mechanisms at EU and farming system level are not wired to address rural development, shows how the low attractiveness of an area can persist once it has come about. Avoiding exceedance of critical thresholds without further adaptation or transformation, implies a performance at or below the current low to moderate levels for most system function indicators and resilience attributes . A potential exceedance of a critical threshold in the coming ten years is expected to lead to negative developments for most system function indicators and resilience attributes. Negative developments of function indicators are expected in the economic, social as well as the environmental domain. On average, across all farming systems, we did not observe any differences in the magnitude of the effect between domains for function indicators. This consistent development confirms the idea that the different domains are interacting. The consistent expected developments for function indicators and resilience attributes after exceeding critical thresholds suggest a perceived interaction between them. One could argue that a system needs resources to react to shocks and stresses , especially for adaptation and transformation. These resources can only be adequately realized when there is an enabling environment and when system functions are performing well. The other way around, resilience attributes can be seen as “resources” to support system functions on the way to more sustainability. For instance, existing diversity of activities and farm types makes visible what works in a specific situation, openness of a system helps to timely introduce improved technologies, and connection with actors outside the farming system may help to create the enabling environment for innovations to improve system functioning . Impact of challenges is primarily experienced at the farm level,resulting in the disappearance of farms from the farming system. In multiple case studies , participants indicated that identified critical thresholds would be perceived differently among farmers. As mentioned before, farm closure generally leads to a less attractive countryside, a long-term process that is currently not perceived the most important issue in most studied farming systems, according to stakeholder input. Increasing farm size could be seen as a solution to compensate for the loss of farms and farmers in the farming system. Increasing the farm size is often associated with the advantage of economies of scale. For multiple farming systems in our study , production margins are low, which could further stimulate this thinking. However, from the farm level perspective, beyond a certain size, further economies of scale are not realized in some of the studied farming systems, i.e. there are limits to growth dependent on the rural context. In BE-Dairy, for instance, increasing farm size seems to be limited due to environmental standards. In ES-Sheep, further reduction of the farmer population is perceived to be harming the farming system, e.g. through reduction of facilities such as farmer networks, agricultural research initiatives, etc., but also hospitals, schools, etc. Besides, to further increase farm size, farmers in ES-Sheep depend on extra labor that is not available because of low attractiveness of the countryside, bato bucket while investment in labor saving technology does not pay off with the current market prices.

This is an example of the reflection of Kinzig et al. that a seemingly reversible threshold becomes irreversible because a certain management option to reverse processes is not available anymore. Based on Fig. 1, we argue that this specific example may be true for more farming systems where a lack of labor force is experienced and investment in labor saving technology are not likely to pay off . The importance of the social domain of farming systems makes us argue that indicators in this domain should be monitored. The option for countries in CAP2021-27 to shift 25% of the budget from income support to rural development provides the opportunity to adapt policies and investments to rural development needs. For instance for the more remote farming systems such as DE-Arable&Mixed and BGArable. We argue that a large shift of budget across the two pillars is already an indication of the perceived need to improve rural living conditions and can thus be used for monitoring. Although relating to economic values, the allocation of budget to rural development can thus be seen as the importance that is attributed to support processes in the social domain. Caution is needed however, as Pillar II also supports processes related to the environmental domain. Surveys among experts at national and regional level that record how much of the budget should be shifted from pillar I to II is a further step in assessing the performance of farming systems in the social domain. This implies introducing subjectivity in the CMEF on the evaluation side, while the choice of the parameter is defined objectively, i.e. externally. Jones remarks that objectively defined and subjectively evaluated resilience assessments are relatively robust, easy and quick, while the limitations lay mainly in having to deal with bias, priming and social desirability. Other possibilities for objectively defined and subjectively evaluated indicators may lie in including indicators on living conditions and quality of life in rural areas based on Eurofound studies . These type of indicators also have the advantage of being entirely in the social domain, i.e. they don’t indirectly refer to economic values such as the shift in budget from Pillar I to Pillar II as discussed above.

A common reflection in the discussion section so far is that having adequate system resources seems essential for stimulating system resilience attributes and dealing with challenges. In cases of low farming system resilience, building system resources may initially depend largely on external resources. This implies a role for regional, national and EU government bodies, i.e. a pro-active role for actors in the institutional domain outside the farming system. Given the tendency to focus on economic performance at farm level, external resources in the form of economic subsidies should be increasingly conditional regarding environmental and social functioning of the farming system. The emphasis on resources for building resilience is also acknowledged in several recent resilience frameworks , for instance with regard to knowledge and innovation systems . To elaborate on the example of AKIS, we argue that, rather than only monitoring and evaluating the amount of budget and the number of people that benefit from improved AKIS , also the amount of this resource and stakeholders’ access to it should be known and evaluated regularly. Similarly, other social and institutional resources need to be monitored next to economic and environmental resources. Given the challenges regarding assessing and discussing critical thresholds in workshops , all identified critical thresholds could be seen as “Thresholds of potential concern” . In our case these TPCs would express the concerns of a selection of farming system stakeholders. TPCs can be seen as a set of evolving management goals that are aimed at avoiding critical thresholds that are expected, e.g. from experiences in other systems, but are not known. In case thresholds are considered beforehand as TPC’s, Q-methodology may be an interesting participatory method to define which TPC deserves most priority. Estimating main functions of a system by assessing critical thresholds as TPCs, reduces the presence of clear sustainability goals. This makes the threshold assessment less dependent on externally determined values and criteria than most sustainability assessments . Implicitly, the goal is to avoid a decline in sustainability and resilience levels of the current system, which may give the participating system actors the trust to provide details, expose interrelatedness between sustainability domains, and also come up with solutions. Regarding the latter, it should be noted that avoiding exceedance of critical thresholds does not automatically imply that a system is steering away from mediocre performance.

Agriculture and farming don’t figure much in the IoP literature

Although making a success of smart farming is already tricky and adding new complications might appear unhelpful, the task must be to recognize and confront the complexities, rather than sidestep or ignore them. The question is how to construct smart farming innovation processes that yield more effective configurations?To avoid producing misconfigured innovations, smart farming requires a reimagined innovation process. I argue the challenge is to imagine and realize an innovation process that can yield ‘emancipatory smart farming.’ Some clues of what such an innovation process might entail are provided by research on the possibilities of pursuing ‘responsible research and innovation’ in smart farming. With a focus on anticipation, inclusion, reflexivity, and responsiveness , RRI tries to respond to the new “socio-ethical dilemmas” called forth by contemporary technological developments. For example, as stated by Rose and Chilvers , “[i]n the rush to embrace smart agri-tech, we are in danger of forgetting the wider network of other innovations that play an important role, but may also affect societies in different ways” . One focal point of RRI is therefore “to stage reasoned deliberations on technological needs and concerns between historically marginalized food system actors and prominent decision makers in government” . An ambition is that RRI might become “a rubric for guiding innovation toward socially and ethically acceptable ends” . At issue is examining “interrelations between multiple co-existing innovations in sustainable agriculture [to] promote the cultivation of distributed responsibilities across wider innovation ecologies” . In the New Zealand dairy sector, for instance, RRI has recognized that smart farming will yield “adapted advisory structures, potentially leading to displaced farm staff and service providers” . Moreover, shifts associated with smart farming technologies might have a “major impact on the cultural fabric of what it means to be a farmer,” in part because they can entail “detailed monitoring by agricultural equipment makers, input suppliers, u planting gutter processors and retailers” . There are reasons to applaud RRI. It signals at least an interest in trying to integrate societal concerns in technical developments; and opens avenues for new engagements between groups that might not otherwise interact.

It is a close approximation of what an appropriate topological repertoire might look like because it emphasizes the visibility of stakeholders, actors, and material realities that otherwise can be marginalized or ignored. However, RRI in smart farming still fails to produce adequate configurations. It operates via a misplaced insistence that agricultural innovation can successfully reconfigure sociotechnical relations in one domain, without also pursuing systemic or structural change. In short, it is necessary to continue insisting on the need for reimagined smart farming innovation processes that work to sidestep the misconfigured innovations evident in today’s smart farming developments. A pertinent example of what might be possible here is the development of farm OS, which draws on activist engagements and explores how smart technologies can empower communities, through actions of solidarity and co-learning . The software helps farmers record, plan, and manage their operations. It is open-source, produced under a general public license, and is easily hackable, in contrast to proprietary farm management software. Farmers can integrate diverse tools, such as drones for capturing aerial imagery or sensors to record temperatures, and thereby retain latitude to configure their operations in astute ways. In its effort to unsettle established smart farming structures and enable farmers to take back control over the software and data they produce, farmOS resembles other efforts to hack and repair farm technologies . It also reflects a much wider societal shift whereby activists, community groups, or others in civil society embrace contemporary technologies and take advantage of the emergent affordances to pursue “productive resistance” . A key dynamic of digital life today is growing realization that ‘smart’ use of software platforms requires re-platformizing society so urban citizens as much as rural farmers can take advantage of technological affordances without reproducing a platform economy dominated by a few enormous firms . It is therefore illuminating that farmOS is part of a new partnership called Open TEAM that aims to create a platform to facilitate “soil health management for farms of all scales, geographies and production systems” . There is scope today for farmers and connected others to overcome the problems of ‘actually existing’ smart farming and the misconfigured innovations it churns out. ise from new possibilities on the technological horizon. Hitherto, a technical limitation on smart farming developments pertains to the uneven roll-out of high-speed internet access between urban and rural areas . But there is now evidence that 5G networking technologies using TV White Space or ‘frugal 5G’ could be a ‘game changer’ for rural Internet access. If there is to be a ‘what next?’ of smart farming, it will build on what we find actually existing today to create new possibilities for embedding food production within the wider ‘planetary cognitive ecology’ , with unpredictable outcomes.

One relevant near-term scenario emerges from research on the ‘internet of people’ , a term used by computer science researchers with a view to building on and improving the relatively passive ‘internet of things.’ In the “Next Generation Internet” they are exploring, the internet of things is not swept away but rather a “new reference architecture” is carefully-crafted onto it with a view to overcoming problematic features of the “current-Internet data-management paradigm [such as] constant monitoring of users’ behavior by global platforms to provide to them ‘navigation’ and filtering services to find relevant data embedded in the huge amount of available data” . The overall design calls for a “human-centric perspective” at the scale of implementation and a novel “data-management Internet paradigm” in which devices are proxies of humans and constantly exist in context and operate in self-organizing networks that create new efficiencies because the need for human decisions is minimized. Significant features include use of new 5G capabilities that enable relatively autonomous ‘device-to-device’ communications across ‘pervasive communities’ of connected users. Per an IoP manifesto , devices are designed to ‘be social,’ ‘be personalized,’ ‘be proactive,’ and ‘be predictable.’ The underlying notion is that the IoP will use new arrangements and practices to engender economic efficiencies and positive social impacts. But there is every reason to expect the types of behaviours and interactions proposed by this line of research to impact on ‘smart farming’ practices. Consider a hypothetical example of how the IoP might operate, which, in the absence of available real-world examples to use, I adapt from contributions to the IoP literature : Maxine is a dairy farmer and cheese producer. Her cheese sales are disappointing. She’s confused and worried. She searches online for new recipes. Her phone knows a new recipe or idea is needed [‘be personalized’]. It shares this info with devices belonging to Maxine’s friends [’be social’]. At a social event soon thereafter, a phone belonging to a friend of Maxine overhears2 someone called Sandy say that Maxine’s cheese reminds them of another cheese they ate on holiday in Holland. It sends Maxine’s device a message along these lines [’be social’]; shares the ingredients and recipe of the Dutch cheese [’be predictable’]; and suggests a tweaked production process [’be proactive’]. Maxine’s device also communicates with quasi-autonomous devices in the cheese cellar [’be social’] to produce a new test batch. Some months later, Maxine has produced the new cheese product. Her device then detects that Sandy will be nearby soon [’be social’] and arranges for a sample pack to be delivered to her [’be proactive’]. At the same time, Maxine’s phone arranges for sample packs to be sent to other people who match Sandy’s sociological profile [’be proactive’]. Their devices respond to say they like Maxine’s new cheese and Maxine’s phone sends them discount coupons for their next purchase [’be predictable’]. Today’s smart farming developments lay the ground for emerging operations in the IoP: devices such as phones, or sensors to measure soil moisture or temperatures, are now operating on farms all over the world; software platforms are integrating actions, collecting and analysing data, and providing pertinent information to guide decisions; and autonomous machines are already in action.

All of these arrangements of devices and sensors share information according to protocols and standards worked out in the context of today’s technological limits and possibilities. The scene is therefore set for new rounds of investment in technologies that adapt architectures and yield realities like those posed above. As such, tomorrow’s protocols and possibilities will build on the normality of devices and sensors contributing to on-farm intelligence and efficiency but with a view to delivering results impossible hitherto. As suggested by Maxine’s case, then, smart farming in the IoP still relies on human intelligence but the abilities of her farm operation to survive is upgraded and amplified by protocols and standards that grant proxy devices autonomy and intelligence to proactively prompt new connectivities and relations. Maxine’s relations with others are mediated, filtered, and ranked; her digital life draws on new affordances developing dynamically within pervasive communities operating across a proactive internet. Beyond notions of the ‘nanny state’ infusing debates about communitarian governmental action, the IoP scenario is more akin to people living with numerous devices acting like ‘guardian angels,’ planting gutter with autonomous device-to-device decision making based on assumptions about the needs and possibly the desires of the individuals ‘they’ oversee. Maxine may be conscious of decisions she makes to engage the internet and might even understand or be sent information about autonomous device-to-device activities pinging messages and moving data according to underlying protocols; but much of her social life in the IoP also unfolds without her active participation. It is a new rural scene; an image of a different society from today’s, not least because it suggests the arrival of a new cognitive ecology underpinned and driven by AI, with social relations played out in numerous colliding “regions of technical autonomy” . Taking stock of the IoP scenario, there is clearly a strong possibility that smart farming in this forthcoming context will unfold via further rounds of misconfigured innovations. The dynamics of capitalist accumulation will no doubt pervade the design of protocols, devices, and services. Per the orientation of practices within so-called “surveillance capitalism” , tech firms such as Google or Amazon – as well as agri-TNCs, with their new data science profiles – will explore opportunities in the IoP to construct a more predictable world. Their challenge will be trying to contain the latent capacities and chaos of human and non-human action within tight profitable parameters; to thereby reduce the scope for uncertainty and contingency to interrupt flows of decisions informed by populations of sensors laid out and communicating with each other according to algorithmic models of society.

However, the objective reality of space is that no computational architecture can make sufficient calculations to overcome the inherent and pervasive “chance of space” . Maxine operates in a contingency-laden context before any IoP devices arrive on the scene. What happens with digital technologies in general, and the IoP in particular, is simply now that “the chance of space swells” . In the IoP, Maxine engages a new rural scene that amplifies chaos with unpredictable outcomes. As such, unexpected dynamics might come to the fore. The distinction here is between the architecture of digital life and the actual lived experience of digital subjects, which always entails “intersections and recursive relationships” playing out via “iterative interplays” . As evidence from research on digital worlds demonstrates – and as I have discussed via reference to developments such as farmOS – contemporary and emerging digital devices and services provide affordances for subjects to use technology in unexpected ways, including for the sake of resisting oppressive social formations. In rural space, smart farming seen through the lens of IoP research might place new value on intelligent, efficient, and even to some extent ruthless practices that squeeze as much profit from land and labour. Nevertheless, and emphatically, outcomes of the technological shifts at play here remain unwritten. Like farmOS or other efforts to re-imagine smart farming technologies, the IoP might create scope for users to create new forms of cooperation, reciprocity, and solidarity. There is significant scope for further investigation into this emerging scene.

We find that several estimates of the effect of the fixed-price contract on rice area are no longer significant

Even when we disaggregate the contract treatment by contract attributes, there is little evidence of significant differences. Yet, the plethora of null results arising from the heterogeneity analysis is informative regarding both the contracts offered to participants in the experiment and the larger non-experimental literature as a whole. The contracts offered by ESOP appear to  benefit households equally. The contracts did not disadvantage female headed households or older farmers. Nor did they advantage farmers with more experience or those who participated in training programs or were members of local farm associations. This uniformity is encouraging regarding the equity and achievability of the contracting terms that ESOP offers. In regards to the larger literature on the heterogeneous effects of contract farming, endogenous matching between principals and agents is extremely difficult to control in non-experimental settings . It may be the case that some non-experimental studies have confounded heterogeneity in contract outcomes with heterogeneity in contract participation.The final component of our analysis is to explore the robustness of our primary results to different samples, different inference, and different specifications. Table 9 summarizes these robustness checks and their results. The table also points to where in the Appendix the complete results for each check can be found. Our first check is whether our inference is robust when we account for attrition. Since some differences do exist between attritors and nonattritors in our sample, we calculate bounds for our estimates following Lee and accounting for the stratified and clustered design of the experiment. All point estimates for the treatment effect are bounded away from zero .

These results suggest that any potential bias introduced by differences between attriting farmers and returning farmers is small relative to our estimated effect sizes. Next, we check whether our inference is robust to corrections that account for testing multiple hypotheses. We adjust p-values for the FWER using the Bonferroni , Holm and List et al. correction, rolling bench along with adjusting for the FDR using Anderson sharpened q-values. Corrections for our main results are in Table B6 and Table B8 in the Appendix. In general, there is no change in significance from any of these corrections. In cases where our point estimates are significant, they remain significant when accounting for multiple hypothesis testing. Given the grouped nature of the randomization, leaving us with 107 treatment units, it is possible that asymptotic inference is unreliable. As an alternative method for interrogating the robustness of our results, we implement a randomization inference procedure outlined in Heβ . Where classical inference assumes the treatment is fixed and the sample is a random draw, randomization inference assumes the sample is fixed and the assignment to treatment is random. For each ANCOVA regression with covariates, we randomly permute the treatment indicator 5000 times, accounting for the stratified and clustered design of the experiment, which allows us to build a reference sample under the sharp null hypothesis of no treatment effect. We can then compare the distribution of outcomes when the hypothetical treatment effect is zero with the observed treatment effect and calculate p-values. Table B6 and Table B7 in the Appendix present p-values from the analytical standard errors presented in the body of the paper along with p-values calculated from the randomization inference procedure. Similar to our adjustments for attrition and multiple hypothesis testing, randomization inference does not move our results from significant to not significant for the pooled treatment. When it comes to the treatment effects for each contract type, there is a change in the effect of T1 on rice area, which is no longer significant. Besides this case, all other significant treatment effects remain significant, though at reduced levels.

Our next two checks are concerned with the robustness of our results to difference specifications. In Table 6 we presented results from regressions which included indicators for each treatment. We now conduct a pairwise comparison of each treatment against the control .Additionally, the OLS estimate without covariates of the effect of T1 on income per capita is no longer significant. There is no change in significance for any of the other variables and specifications. In Table 7 we presented Bonferroni-adjusted Wald tests comparing co-efficient sizes across treatments. We can make this same comparison in a pairwise fashion, directly testing T2 against T1, T3 against T1, and T3 against T2 . Any differences that were significant using the Wald test remain significant in the pairwise comparisons. However, we find that three cases where the Wald test failed to reject the null can be rejected in a pairwise comparison. Rice area for those in T2 is significantly less than T1 and income per capita is significantly larger for those in T3 compared to both T2 and T1. In each of these cases the p-value of the Wald test fell just below the 90 percent critical value and the switch to a direct comparison increases the precision of the estimates. Our final robustness check is to test our results using alternative measures of welfare. First, we disaggregate income into rice income, farm income other than from rice, and non-farm income. This allows us to determine if households are reallocating effort away from other sources of income and towards rice production. Tables B16 and B17 in the Appendix present results for the pooled treatment and each treatment arm. The results are consistent across tables: the treatment increases rice income but does not have a significant effect on other income sources. However, there is a small but insignificant negative effect on non-rice farm income. Despite this, it appears that contract farming increases household income without reducing other sources of income. Second, since income is notoriously difficult to measure accurately, we estimate treatment effects on two food security metrics.

The first is the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale and the second is the Food Consumption Score . The HFIAS measures a household’s feelings and perceptions of food insecurity and is the preferred measure of USAID. The FCS measures how often a household consumes food items in different food groups and is the preferred measure of the World Food Programme.Our results are generally robust to these alternative welfare measures . Farming contracts increase the FCS as do all three individual contracts. However, there is little evidence that farming contracts reduce the HFIAS. While some of the treatment effects on HFIAS are significant, they tend not to be robust to adjustments accounting for multiple hypothesis testing or attrition. Third, we estimate treatment effects on a back-of-the-envelope calculation of profits from rice production.Our data contains detailed inputs on rice production, including labor time. However, it lacks detailed price data on hired and household wages as well as input data on total farm production. Despite these limitations in the data, and the long-standing problem of valuing family labor, we can compute a rough estimate of profits earned from rice production. We use three different wages to calculate a range of rice profits. Based on data from ESOP, we calculate profits at a “low wage rate” of 1500 CFA per day and a “high wage rate” of 2000 CFA per day. We also calculate profit using self-reported “cost of labor” for rice production. Using these three sources to value both hired and family labor, we can create a range of back-of-the envelope calculations for rice profits per hectare. As can be seen in Tables B20 and B21 in the Appendix, farm contracts increase rice profits when self-reported labor is used but have no significant effect when we use the low and high wage data from ESOP. We believe that the lack of impact on profit using ESOP-reported wages is due to a lack of precision in calculated profit, and, as a result, a lack of precision in estimates. Using self-reported costs to calculate wage rates, standard errors on estimates are always below 1.0. However, standard errors on estimates using ESOP data are frequently above 2.0. We conclude that there is suggestive, though far from conclusive, evidence that the contracts did in fact increase profits.The results from our field experiment present consistent evidence regarding the impact of contract farming, though somewhat unexpected insights regarding the impact of different contract attributes. Participation in contract farming, or at least the contracts ESOP offered to rice farmers in our study, has a positive and significant impact on area planted, yield, market participation, and income. Obviously, this should not be interpreted as definitive evidence that all contract farming is beneficial to the agent, as contract terms will vary based on context, grow table hydroponic bargaining power, and the objective function of the principal. While the overall positive effect of a farm contract was expected, we did not anticipate some of the differences in outcomes across contract type.

In particular, contracts that provide extension training seemed to add no value above and beyond the fixed-price contract. Evidence from comparisons in Table 6 and our robustness checks all show that the provision of extension training frequently resulted in lower outcomes relative to the other contracts. Similarly, the estimates of treatment effects on input use does not reveal substantial differences between contracts that provided extension services and the contract that did not. Three factors may explain these results. First, extension training is expected to increase technical efficiency. However, many smallholder farmers are resource-poor and may be unable to apply the knowledge they have gained. For instance, training regarding best practices for the application of fertilizer when the farmer cannot afford to buy the fertilizer is time ill spent. Second, the farmers in our experiment had very basic levels of education. The extension training developed with ESOP may have been pitched at too high a level to be effective. Third, it may be the case that the extension training was too broad. Recent RCT evidence from Kenya and Nigeria has shown that significant improvements can be made to agricultural outcomes when targeted or personalized advice is offered . By comparison, broad or generalized recommendations typically provide no value added to farmers. That extension training was ineffective in our study is disappointing but not abnormal. Feder et al. , Bellemare and Jones and Kondylis all provide evidence that extension services in developing countries often prove ineffective in producing positive and significant outcomes for smallholder farmers. Furthermore, in many developing countries, extension services focus more on cash crops , neglecting staple food crops such as rice . While extension training proved to provide little added value, the simple fixed-price contracts turned out to produce particularly large impacts. Across multiple comparison groups, the fixed-price contract resulted in outcomes statistically indistinguishable from the contract that added input loans and extension training to the price guarantee. Focusing on the results of the Wald tests in Table 7, the contract that only offered a fixed price had similar effect sizes for area planted, yields, and income relative to the contract that added extension services and input loans. Market participation was the only outcome variable where the fixed price contract failed to meet or exceed the effect size of one or more of the other contracts. This result is striking in its simplicity and enormously encouraging in its implications for contract farming and rural transformation. It implies that the primary issue facing these farmers is output price risk. Though our experimental design does not allow for a clean test of the effect of eliminating price risk, since all contracts include non-price attributes, the preponderance of evidence suggests that providing a contract that eliminates price risk allows farmers to, on their own, make the necessarily investment to increase their rice area, increase their productivity, and, by selling more rice into the market, increase their income. Our results regarding the role of output price risk closely align with evidence presented in Michelson et al. and Michelson regarding contract farming schemes in Nicaragua. There the authors study contracts offered by Walmart and other supermarkets to purchase produce from smallholder farmers. They find that farmers who receive contracts isolating them from fluctuations in out price take on more credit, farm more intensively, produce more, and earn a higher income.

The proposed model helps to identify the insects as well as suggest Pesticides for the same

Various elements must be considered when estimating the cost of a crop. It divides agricultural costs into five categories and provides calculations for each. It also gives examples of how to figure out how much a crop cost. It is a theoretical article that always guide the implementation of estimating the cost of cultivation. This theoretical study was used in the proposed model to calculate the cost of cultivation. It was very helpful as it provided elementary description to calculate the costs for cultivation. The formulas proposed in this study was used in the proposed system to estimate the costs till the year 2028. From 2004 to 2015, the goal of this research is to evaluate the gap between various costs and gross value of output , as well as the trends of input utilization and critical factors for gross value of output of gram crop across top production states. The findings demonstrate so after 2009–2010, all states’ GVO and overall costs increased significantly. The commencement of the Government of India’s agricultural waiver scheme in 2008–2009 was found to be the cause of a large increase in operational costs from 2009 to 2010. It was also obvious that the compound annual growth rate was larger in 2009–2010 than in 2014–2015 when comparing 2004–2005 to 2007–2008. Profit margins were high in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, indicating a cost-cutting trend. This work provided a comparative study about the costs between different states of India. The proposed work has used Ensemble regression algorithms that is used to forecast the costs till 2028. It provides a comparative study of a crop for a specific state from 2010– 2028. Hence the user would be able to identify the trends of costs from the year 2010–2028.

The forecasting is explicitly applied on the India’s cost of cultivation survey data from 2010–2018. This provides an elaborative view of operational cost,led grow lights fixed cost, total cost, Cost Concepts were displayed in form of a graph for better understanding of the trends of the costs. Agriculture is currently a dominant use of the land and a major driver of environmental change and thus agricultural landscapes are key to achieve the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals , such as food security and environmental sustainability . As social-ecological systems, agricultural landscapes reflect the intertwined interaction between humans and nature through time . The contribution of agricultural landscapes to society goes beyond provisioning ecosystem services . Farmlands can contribute with a wide range of other key ecosystem services to society such as regulating and cultural , while providing habitat for biodiversity . However, the social-ecological outcomes of farmlands relate to the characteristics of supporting landscapes, which ultimately reflect the management practices, i.e. farming systems prevailing at the landscape level . Distinct farming systems are characterized by different field- and farm-level agricultural practices, reflecting farmers’ decisions on crop selection, livestock management and/or the maintenance of non-crop elements . Managed under intensive FS, agricultural landscapes contribute mainly to food and fibre production, but at high costs for the natural environment . Agricultural intensification has been pinpointed as major driver of land use change, causing landscape homogenization, habitat degradation and loss, and the decline of species of conservation interest . Conversely, farmlands managed under low-intensive farming systems, especially those designated in Europe as High Nature Value farmlands , have been highlighted for contributing to a wide range of ecosystem services, beyond support to biodiversity .

Characterized by low levels of agrochemical inputs and livestock stoking, minimal mechanization and the rotational use of the land, HNV farming systems maximize the use of territorial resources for agricultural production, while promoting landscape level heterogeneity. Therefore, the maintenance of HNV farming systems has been related to the occurrence of species and/or habitats, among which some of conservation concern . The European Union Common Agricultural Policy has been recognizing the role of agricultural landscapes to meet societal environmental concerns, namely by explicitly defining specific practices that farmers’ should observe or by supporting low intensity FS fostering the nature value of agricultural landscapes . Overall, CAP instruments align with other EU policy instruments such as Nature Directives and the EU Biodiversity Strategy, which, among other objectives, aim to include agricultural areas under high-diversity landscape features and organic farming management through uptaking agro-ecological practices for a positive contribution of agriculture to biodiversity and ecosystem services . Still, while the link between agriculture and biodiversity and ecosystem services has been widely described, data-driven research assessing such relationship at the landscape level across taxonomic groups and services is still scarce. Data availability is a major limitation to advance knowledge on how farming systems shape biodiversity and ecosystem services at the landscape level . The Integrated Administration and Control System database, managed by EU Member States paying agencies to monitor and control CAP payments, has been highlighted as a potential source of information on farmers’ practices at the farm-level . Coupled with the Land Parcel Information System , a spatially-explicit identification system for agricultural plots, IACS provide a high spatial and temporal resolution dataset integrating several dimensions of agricultural management, such livestock stocking, crops and land use . The value of IACS goes beyond the support to assess and monitor the impacts of CAP instruments. This comprehensive source of high-resolution data has been increasingly highlighted for its potential to support data-driven research in agricultural landscapes . Examples include mapping HNVf , analysis of crop and landscape diversity , land use change , definition and analysis of farming systems , or modelling exercises to assess the impacts of policies on FS and biodiversity . However, studies using this detailed source of data reflecting agricultural management have seldom been performed to assess and monitor patterns of biodiversity and the delivery of ecosystem services at the landscape level. Farming systems conceptual and methodological approaches have been pointed as suitable tools to explore the links between farmers’ practices and biodiversity and ecosystem services .

Considering farms as systems and units of analysis, a FS includes a set of farms sharing similar characteristics, namely in what concerns land type, labor and means of production, reflected in cropping and livestock subsystems combinations and underlying management decisions such as livestock rates and crop types, or the use of fertilizers. Such characteristics result from farmers’ decisions, which are jointly driven by policies , socio-economic factors and by biophysical conditions . Ultimately, farmers’ decisions are reflected as the dominance of a given farming system at the landscape level . Thus, exploring the links between FS and biodiversity and ecosystem services is essential to improve our understanding on the impacts of agriculture on biodiversity in landscapes under different agricultural management. In this research, we contribute to advance the state-of-the-art, by exploring the link between FS and patterns of biodiversity at the landscape level. To do that, we used IACS data to identify and characterize the spatial distribution of farming systems in a region in NW Spain and explored the relationships between the composition of FS, and species and habitats richness. More specifically, we aimed to answer the following research questions: Can IACS be used to map and characterize different farming systems at the landscape-level? and, Is the occurrence of specific FS linked with higher levels of biodiversity? Results of the analysis between FS and targeted biodiversity indicators are discussed for the Galician region, and implications drawn with respect to the assessment and monitoring of patterns of biodiversity in agricultural landscapes, including High Nature Value farmlands, across the EU. Our study area covers Galicia, an administrative NUTS 2 region located in North-western Spain, between 41◦ N and 44◦ N latitude, and, 9.5◦ W and 6.5◦ W longitude with a total area of 29,575 km2 . Most of the region is characterized by an oceanic/dry summer climate and is located in the Atlantic biogeographical region, with only a small area located in the south-east Galicia integrated in the Mediterranean region. Characterized by an elevation ranging from sea level to ~2100 m in the western mountains and a hilly topography, roughly 36% of Galician municipalities have been declared as less-favoured areas according to the Council Directive 75/268/EEC . The biophysical characteristics and historical uses of the land of Galicia are reflected in a considerable natural capital, recognized by the designation of several Natura 2000 areas, including 16 Special Protection Areas and 59 Special Areas of Conservation . SPAs cover 101,135 ha and SACs 374,435 ha, corresponding to 3.4% and 12.6% of all the area, respectively. For the last half of the twentieth century, Galicia underwent a polarization between intensification of agriculture and forest activities in the best soils and marginalization of remote, vertical grow system mountainous areas, following the trends observed at the EU scale .

The specialization of agriculture targeted mainly dairy production, while in the forest sector focused fast growing species for timber. Thus, despite representing less than 6% of total area in Spain, Galicia currently accounts for about 40% of dairy and 50% of timber production in the country. Utilized agricultural area occupies about 30% of total area of the region. Holdings are mostly small family farms, considerably smaller than the Spanish average . Moreover, there is a large fragmentation of land property , implying that most farmers manage a rather high number of different plots of land. Thus, despite a trend for agricultural intensification along the last decades, the relatively small scale of farming units and the fragmentation of farm holdings in numerous plots of land contribute to the complexity and heterogeneity of the landscape. Together with a relatively high density of linear landscape elements, these aspects contribute to a High Nature Value linked to the occurrence of cultural landscapes in the area . IACS and LPIS data on farm-level management was provided by the regional managing authority . Linked to LPIS, IACS provides spatially-explicit information on the geographic location, area and crops produced and the number and type of livestock for all agricultural plots managed by Galician farmers’ and declared under the CAP payments. For this study, the dataset contained information for the year 2015 about 1,190,714 parcels, declared by 33, 009 farms . To assure statistical confidentiality, all farms in the dataset are identified by a randomly generated code and as no relation to any farm registration codes. Information about the distribution of EU Habitats of Community Interest in the region was derived from data available from the previous work of Ramil-Rego et al. . This data is the most up-to-date data source regarding the diagnosis, description and distribution of habitat types listed in Annex I of the Habitats Directive for the study area. Moreover, it constitutes the source of data for the Galician Natura 2000 sites regional Management Plan , and for the Standard Data Forms of the designated SACs in the region. While detailed habitat mapping has been carried out exclusively for Natura 2000 sites and their surroundings, records for the presence/absence of habitats in a 10 × 10 km UTM grid were available for the whole region from the same project. Here, we considered all terrestrial Annex I habitats listed for the study area , assuming that agricultural practices may have direct and indirect impacts on their occurrence at the landscape level. We used this information to calculate the total number of Annex I habitats and the total number of priority habitats recorded per 10 × 10 km grid cell . The diversity of species of conservation interest was derived from the Biodiversity Data Bank maintained by the Institute of Agrarian Biodiversity and Rural Development of the University of Santiago de Compostela. This data bank is the most updated source regarding species occurrence for Galicia, and includes information about the suitable habitats for each species, according to the methodology proposed by Ramil Rego et al. . Species of conservation interest were selected . Then, and converging with the objectives of our research, we selected only protected species associated with agro-ecosystems . Our final dataset included 119 protected species, from which 8 plants, 1 invertebrate, 11 amphibians, 13 reptiles, 80 birds, and 6 mammals . While unbalanced, the final set of species reflects the uneven number of species of conservation interest listed across the targeted taxonomic groups for the study area .

Plant species growing in pastures also influence dietary selections made by grazing ruminants

In tropical grasslands, moderate grazing led to soil carbon storage and resulted in greater productivity and soil water-holding capacity, potentially enhancing grassland resilience to climate change . Mixed grazing of different livestock species at moderate levels promoted higher diversity and ecosystem multi-functionality . Soussana et al. , who accounted for greenhouse gas budgets at nine European grassland sites, found that grasslands have the potential to offset a significant proportion of global emissions of greenhouse gases as a result of livestock grazing. These findings have significant implications for achieving carbon neutrality and carbon peaking. Altogether, integrating grassland grazing into existing livestock farming systems in China will undoubtedly meet the increasing human demand for high-quality foods and valuable ecosystem services.Despite the potential positive contributions to humans, grassland-based ruminant farming systems in China still face severe problems, such as low production output , greenhouse gas emissions caused by ruminants due to low-quality forage feeding , and grassland degradation caused by overgrazing . We determined that the key reason for the emergence of these problems lies in the lack of knowledge and techniques for integration of nutrition manipulation and grazing manipulation. In grassland grazing systems, herbivore foraging behaviors are a central feature in the animaleplant interface . Herbivore foraging selection can directly influence plant community composition and diversity by changing competition among plants, affecting grassland ecological processes and ecosystem functions. Simultaneously, foraging selections of livestock under grazing conditions directly determine the nutrient supply resulting from grazing and forage resources, hydroponic dutch buckets which are essential for nutrition management decisions.

Therefore, accurately determining the diet selection of grazing ruminants relative to available herbage is necessary for future developments of these techniques. However, complex variables create significant challenges for accurately predicting the foraging selection behaviors of ruminants under grazing conditions, making predictions extremely difficult. The challenges we explore are not exhaustive but are focused on key factors in developing sustainable grassland-based ruminant farming systems.Animals may selectively adjust their dietary composition according to their individual experiences, nutritional status, and physiological status. Previous studies have shown that ruminants tend to choose specific plants and plant parts when grazing . Decisions about what to eat are based on expected rewards and previous experiences, affecting an animal’s food preferences . In utero and early life experiences of livestock may alter food preferences through elusive epigenetic effects that drive the voluntary forage intake of animals later in life . For instance, Chadwick et al. found that lambs exposed to salt bush in utero grew faster and handled greater salt loads than lambs born from ewes grazed on mono-cultures of introduced grasses. Wiedmeier et al. demonstrated that cattle exposed to high-fiber forages early in life showed higher nitrogen retention and greater abilities to digest fiber during adulthood than cattle reared on low-fiber diets. Available evidence has also suggested that ruminants selectively balance their diet according to their nutritional requirements. For instance, grazing ruminants maximize their energy intake through selective feeding on forages, during a day , or within a specific feeding schedule . Mineral-deficient cattle and sheep have been observed eating soil, licking urine patches, eating fecal matter, or eating dead rabbits, whereas animals without mineral deficiencies may sniff or lick these items but rarely consume them . Furthermore, ruminants may selectively feed based on their satiety and changing physiological needs, such as growth, lactation, pregnancy, parturition, and weaning .

Herbivores selectively consume individual plants based on their chemical composition, determined by secondary compounds, nutritional ingredients, and flavor substances. Typically, herbivores prefer to feed on plants containing only modest amounts of secondary metabolites. In small quantities, these compounds reduce bloating and improve protein utilization, immune responses, resistance to gastrointestinal nematodes, and reproductive efficiency . However, excessive volumes of secondary metabolites in grassland plant species limit the forage chosen for ingestion by grazing livestock. For example, goats selectively reduce their intake of forages with a greater composition of secondary compounds such as tannins . Lambs choose to reduce meal size and increase meal intervals when their diet is high in terpenes . Animals generally forage based on flavor profiles and nutrient content, especially when consuming different components of available plant anatomy . The spatial distribution of plant populations, plant species richness, and spatial relationships among different plant species in natural grasslands affect livestock foraging behaviors. Specifically, sheep increased consumption of high-preference species when low-preference species followed a clumped distribution rather than a random distribution . High plant species richness enhanced the frequency that animals switched diets and weakened the ability of herbivores to choose food, increasing foraging costs and interfering with the herbivore’s choice of foraging . Herbivores consumed the largest number of palatable plants when 3 plants species were segregated into 3 patches independent of each other. In contrast, the total forage intake of herbivores for all plant species was reduced when the 3 species were homogenously distributed through patches in a spatially equal neighbor relationship .

Local environments can influence dietary selections by grazing livestock. Extensive studies with pen-fed ruminants have shown that the ambient temperature affects feeding willingness ; however, very little empirical data is available describing the mechanisms affecting herbage intake in grazing ruminants under variable temperature management. Nonetheless, the physiological consequences of heat or cold stress may be similar for ruminants under housing or grazing. In beef cattle, feed intake increased at temperatures from  15 to 28  C but decreased at temperatures above 28  C . For grazing ruminants, behavioral responses amplified the effects of temperature stress on herbage intake under heat and cold stress . Studies examining the relationship between temperature stress and foraging willingness have primarily exhibited inconsistent results. Adams et al. observed significant reductions in the herbage intake of grazing cattle under acute cold stress, whereas Beverlin et al. found only minor changes in herbage intake for cows experiencing changing temperatures . Due to the inconsistent results, whether or not temperature stress affects forage intake in grazing ruminants remains ambiguous. The most relevant measurements to date are also relatively short-term, making it difficult to make recommendations on adjusting intake predictions. The effects of ambient temperature on forage intake may also be amplified by other environmental factors, like wind or precipitation conditions. For instance, wind velocity exacerbated the effects of low temperatures on grazing ruminants during winter but could help alleviate heat stress in summer . Previous studies also reported that rainfall events temporarily reduced the intake of grazing cattle by 10% to 30%, decreasing the cattle’s average daily gain . In addition, terrain plays a principal role in the forage selection of grazing livestock . When examining geographic and environmental factors affecting livestock feeding behaviors, cattle tended to avoid foraging on pastures with slopes greater than 10% inclines during grazing trials, and the number of grazing animals decreased as the slope increased. On slopes with a greater than 60% incline, almost no animals were found foraging . The location of water sources and social behaviors also affected foraging selection by grazing livestock .In addition to variable environmental factors, grazing regimes established by managers are also vital components of estimating forage intake in grazing animals.

Kitessa and Nicol found that cattle continuously co-grazed with sheep showed a lower herbage intake than those rotationally co-grazed with sheep. Perez-Ramirez et al. demonstrated that decreased grazing time of dairy cows strongly increased the pasture intake rate and decreased the foraging selectivity relative to available herbage. Congruently, dairy cows were more motivated to forage when receiving a low-supplement feeding regime. Furthermore, Savian et al. found that the sheep undergoing rotatinuous stocking exhibited an increase in daily herbage intake and improved bite rates compared to those under traditional rational stocking management, suggesting that rotatinuous stocking maximized the herbage intake and optimized the grazing time of sheep. Nevertheless, the factors influencing livestock dietary selections are also constantly changing ,bato bucket as grazing animals are foraging in a dynamic world. Herbage production, grassland community composition, and plant chemical composition fluctuate considerably in response to changing environmental and climatic conditions . This perspective has been supported by a longitudinal study of arid rangelands . Over the 37-year study period, herbage production varied annually between 4% and 307% of the median value. Simultaneously, temporalespatial variations in the herbage’s chemical composition, richness, evenness, and biomass led to heterogeneity. As a result of grazing, preferred plants and specific parts of the plant’s anatomy are removed from the landscape over time, leading to continuous changes in the plant community composition within pasture environments . The complex influencing factors, combined with continuously changing grassland herbage resources , make foraging selections of grazing ruminants extraordinarily complex and unpredictable.In the future, continued research is necessary to clarify and explore the mechanisms underlying foraging behavior, thereby helping us better predict grazing ruminants’ diet selection. Farmers, landowners, and livestock managers have an obligation to embrace vital agricultural and technological advances and establish new nutritional assessment methods for grazing ruminants. Implementation of nutritional intake assessments based on foraging selection behaviors assessment will allow stabilization and increased production in livestock agribusiness. Consequently, our knowledge regarding the nutritional requirements of grazing ruminants requires greater refinement. Many additional elements have been identified to affect the nutritional requirements of grazed ruminants , so knowledge gleaned from animals kept indoors cannot be extrapolated to ruminants in outdoor pasture environments. Further data collection and longitudinal studies are necessary to build mechanistic models of the nutritional requirements of grazing ruminants in terms of energy, protein, minerals, vitamins, and water. Continued research should focus on the critical factors controlling grassland ecological and productive functions.

Biodiversity has been identified as the primary determinant of grassland ecosystem services and functions . Experimental studies have shown that the stability and functionality of grassland ecosystems require high plant species diversity and multi-trophic species diversity for co-regulation like that of below ground soil microbial diversity and above ground community diversity . Improving grassland biodiversity by systematically managing grazing practices is critical for grassland ecological service advancement. Therefore, future studies should target identifying mechanisms of grassland biodiversity maintenance and grazing regulations on grassland biodiversity, offering a scientifically reproducible basis for guiding grazing manipulation practices . It has long been recognized within livestock production practices that rumen microbial communities play an essential role in improving ruminant production and health. The rumen microbiome, consisting of bacteria, protozoa, fungi, archaea, and viruses, composes a sophisticated symbiotic network essential to the maintenance, immune function, and overall production efficiency of the host ruminants . Digestion performed by the rumen microbial community accounts for up to 70% of the total dietary energy in ruminants. The symbiotic metabolic operation between a ruminant host and the rumen microbiome results in many end products critical to other biological processes, including developing the rumen epithelium and establishing the immune system . Ergo, improving our understanding of rumen microbial ecology in grazing ruminants promotes enhanced animal production efficiencies. Considering nutritional manipulation for grazing livestock should also be a management option to optimize rumen microbial communities. Ultimately, this in-depth examination of livestock grazing management and nutritional practices aims to provide a blueprint for developing sustainable, grassland-based ruminant farming systems by integrating animal behavior analysis, animal nutrition principles, and grassland ecology, to achieve “winewin” outcomes for grassland ecological/ecosystem functions and livestock production policies .