Post bloom fruit drop was first formally described in Belize by Fagan . However, there are previous reports of a disease that had all of the symptoms of PFD in various areas of Central and South America in the 1950s and 60s . The disease is now known to occur in all humid citrus areas from Florida in the north to Uruguay in the south. It is endemic in many humid tropical areas such as southern Mexico, Belize, Costa Rica, and many islands of the Caribbean. In those areas, it occurs every year and it is one of the main diseases that affect yield. In other areas, it is a more sporadic problem, but when conditions are favorable, the crop losses can exceed 50%. The disease has never been reported outside of the Americas. Although unopened and even pinhead flowers may be affected, petals on open flowers are the most susceptible to infection. The pistils and stamens of the flowers as well as the pollen can also be infected . Whole flower clusters may be attacked, leaving entire branches with orange to brown petals clinging to inflorescences. After petal fall, the calyces and floral disks which normally abscise if no fruit is set, remain attached to the twig . These persistent calyces, commonly called buttons, survive for the life of the twig. Thus, signs of the disease are usually present year round even though the infection occurs only during bloom. The buttons are characteristic of the disease and are rarely associated with any other disorder. However, gutter berries similar buttons of unknown cause have been observed on some pummelos in Florida . Leaves surrounding infected flowers are often distorted with twisted laminae and enlarged veins.C. acutatum infects flowers readily, producing extensive infection in 48 hours and acervuli in 5 days .
In petals, penetration occurs intra and intercellularly and through the stomata, with intercellular penetration being the most frequent . Abundant conidia formed in acervuli on the surface of infected flowers are readily splash-dispersed to healthy flowers . During the season, the disease continues to spread in a planting as long as flowers are available and environmental conditions are favorable. Conidia deposited on vegetative surfaces form appressoria and quiescent infections that serve as survival structures during periods when flowers are absent. These appressoria will germinate to produce secondary conidia when exposed to petal extracts under moist conditions . Thus, the first petals produced in the spring probably stimulate the germination of appressoria and the formation of conidia to initiate a new infection cycle. Application of sucrose to leaves inoculated with PFD isolates increased the number of propagules recovered from leaves, suggesting that the response to flower extracts is nutritional . Thus, the C. acutatum on sweet orange functions as a necrotroph on flowers and as a biotroph on leaves .The fungus reproduces primarily on flower petals and does not readily colonize and form acervuli on other tissues . Acervuli only form on other tissues when the tissue is killed artificially, and the fungus does not reproduce in the absence of flowers . MacKenzie et al. compared isolates of C. acutatum from sweet orange, Key lime, strawberry, blueberry, and leather leaf fern and found little evidence of cross pathogenicity. Sequences of 3 genes indicated that isolates from the same host were identical or very similar to each other and distinct from those isolated from other hosts. Conidia are splash-dispersed to healthy flowers within the same tree. Infection is more severe in the lower than in the upper canopy, presumably because of washing of conidia downward. The disease is usually initiated in a season by infection of early flowers produced prior to the primary bloom.
Timmer and Zitko found that the number of persistent calyces on trees was a good indicator of PFD incidence the following season. Those calyces carry large numbers of appressoria from the previous season. Disease spread between trees is probably due mainly to rain splash and wind-blown rain, although equipment and humans can probably spread the disease under moist conditions. Agostini et al. in Florida found that tree-to-tree spread in plantings was uniform in all directions except when a significant weather event occurred with wind-blown rain. In contrast, Silva-Junior et al. in Brazil found that initial distribution of infected trees was random and the pattern became aggregated as incidence increased. The difference may be that in Florida, spread was followed in very young plantings with a single source of inoculum, whereas in Brazil, quiescent infections may already have existed on some trees. Long-distance dispersal could conceivably be by insects such as bees that visit flowers and are known to carry conidia of the fungus . Manyother insects such as fruit flies can be contaminated with conidia of C. acutatum . Pollen can also be infected making the spread by bees and other insects even more likely . Spread of C. acutatum by bees and hives has been confirmed in Brazil . The disease is most severe when the bloom extends over a long period of time and rainfall during bloom is extensive. The optimum temperature for growth of C. acutatum is 24 to 27 °C . It is doubtful that temperature has a great impact on disease epidemics . The pathogen can grow at temperatures as low as 15 °C. While cool temperatures slow down the infection process and conidial production, they also slow down the progress of the bloom offering more opportunities for rain events and infection to occur during the bloom period.The key to avoiding PFD is to have a very compact bloom which starts and is completed in less than a month.
With a very short bloom period, there is insufficient time for inoculum to build up and cause a serious epidemic in a planting. This is very difficult to achieve under most circumstances. However, there are some practices which may help restrict the bloom period and reduce disease severity. In some areas, it may be possible to limit irrigation in winter to prevent earlier flowering in the spring. Eliminating declining trees from plantings is also helpful. Trees in decline tend to flower off cycle and build up inoculum for the main bloom. PFD in Florida has resurged after many years of minimal problems in the state, and is probably attributable to increased tree decline and off-season flowering caused by huanglongbing that is now common in the state. In some areas, overhead irrigation was used which greatly extended the wetting periods and splash dispersed inoculum within trees and to nearby trees. Switching to micro sprinkler or drip irrigation has helped reduce PFD severity. Virtually all citrus species and cultivars are susceptible to PFD. There is no concrete evidence of differences in the susceptibility of the petals of different citrus species to infection. Nevertheless, disease severity differs greatly between species. Those species or cultivars that flower erratically have more significant damage than are those that have compact blooms. Thus, lemons, limes, Navel oranges, and other cultivars that flower with relatively little stress and produce frequent off-season flowers tend to maintain inoculum levels and have more problems with PFD. In most cases, growers cannot choose more tolerant cultivars since other considerations greatly outweigh their susceptibility to PFD.In the early days in Belize, Fagan found that benomyl and captafol were the most effective fungicides for PFD control. Captan, maneb, and other contact fungicides also provided some control of the disease. Timmer and Zitko in Florida also found that benomyl and captafol were effective for PFD control. The degree of control appeared to be related to the number rather than the timing of the applications based on bloom stage. Where disease was severe, strawberry gutter system applications at 10-day intervals increased yields 3-fold indicating the potential losses to PFD. Benomyl effects on C. acutatum are interesting in that the fungicide does not greatly inhibit the growth of the fungus nor does it inhibit conidial germination or affect appressoria on the leaf surface . It appears to act by inhibiting infection and early development of the fungus. Surprisingly, C. acutatum did not develop resistance to benomyl even after repeated exposure in culture or citrus plantings . In contrast, C. gloeosporioides is highly sensitive to benomyl and resistant strains can be selected in culture or in the field relatively easily. Although both benomyl and captafol provide excellent control of PFD when properly applied, neither is readily available in most citrus areas. Both have been removed from the market for toxicological or market considerations. Other benzimidazole fungicides such as carbendazim are also effective against the disease and would be reasonable substitutes for benomyl. However, in recent years, the use of the benzimidazole fungicides thiabendazole, carbendazim, and thiophanate-methyl have also been restricted. Folpet, a member of the same fungicide group as captan, has also proven quite effective for control of PFD in Brazil . In Florida, Timmer and Zitko found that QoI inhibitors, such as trifloxystrobin and azoxystrobin, provided some control of the disease, but were not as effective as benomyl. Silva-Junior et al. found that the mixture of trifloxystrobin + tebuconazole was the most effective product in studies in Brazil. Although many products on the market provide some degree of control of PFD, the fact is that growers have been left with no highly effective materials. Thus, control of a very difficult disease has been made even more problematic.
Climate change has been the subject of much research in agriculture . The majority of work is conducted using county-level data to assess the relationship between acreage decisions and climate , with a few notable exceptions that use individual farm-level data . Despite the extensive literature on climate-agriculture interactions, there is little empirical evidence on changes in acreage decisions in response to climate change at the micro level. The most recent estimates of climate-induced crop switching in dryland agriculture have been at the county-level scale and mask significant parcel-level heterogeneity. Using unique parcel-level data in an irrigated agriculture context in California’s Central Valley, we contribute to the growing literature on assessing climate-induced changes in agricultural land use. Climate change has a significant impact on agricultural operations and farmers adapt to it in various ways to mitigate its effects. For example, they modify their management practices, they introduce new technologies, such as irrigation technologies, they introduce new varieties, and in many cases, they adjust their land use to new climatic conditions that affect the farm. The focus of this paper is on how climate change has affected the acreage decisions in California’s Central Valley. The Central Valley’s significant agricultural role and dependence on climate make it a suitable study area. Moreover, the richness of cropping patterns, the large variation in climate conditions across the Central Valley, and the dependence on irrigation water all make this region a microcosm of many other regions worldwide. Our empirical study calculates the changes in parcel-specific acreage decisions that can be attributed to long-term growing season climate. We exploit the variations in spatial and temporal patterns in our land use and growing season climate. We follow the literature ; ; Cho and McCarl to apply fractional multinomial logit land-use model, in which the share of crop types , as a measure of a land-allocation decision variable, is explained by long run historical averages of climate variables and heterogeneous land quality. We also adopt the empirical framework of Cui , which employs panel fixed effects estimation framework to measure the climate impact on county-level aggregate planted area, and adapt it to measure the effect of long-term climate variables on acreage decisions at the parcel level. Quantitatively, the marginal effects derived from the panel fixed effects model and fractional multinomial logit model are similar. Specifically, our findings indicate that farmers switched to perennial crops from annual crops, particularly due to a higher degree days during summer. We demonstrate that growers are more likely to plant new acres of perennial crops on less suitable land and may potentially shift available irrigation water to high-revenue crops. Analysis of agricultural land-use with heterogeneous land quality suggests that high-quality land has a more than 90% probability of transitioning to perennial crops, while low-quality land has a lower probability of transitioning to perennial crops. Next, using econometric estimates, we simulate the impact of climate change on land-use shares in California and evaluate farmers’ private adaptation through land-use choices based on their expectations of future climate. Specifically, we predict changes in future land-use shares for2031–2055 relative to 1981–2005, conditional on soil quality and farmland appraisal value trends.